TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,200,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,432,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,200,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under54c310,317$167,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167,571.48932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under54c157,014$84,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,539.3864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over48c104,167$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,166.6719644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ba…dababacked Over72c90,000$64,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,231.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over59c81,316$47,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,373.82,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over46c63,000$28,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,02017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under52c53,758$28,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,030.4777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under53c51,000$27,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,029.9132031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under53c48,608$25,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,761.9920955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under53c45,000$23,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,85022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under52c41,546$21,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,603.8274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Under54c37,037$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0009045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c35,326$17,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,805.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over47c30,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,90023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under53c30,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.9410146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over64c29,616$19,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,592.491,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c27,904$13,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,789.032,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c27,039$14,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,737.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under53c26,932$14,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,328.3817852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under28c26,069$7,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,299.4113738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over71c22,065$15,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,444.697538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over46c21,739$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,739.135442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over46c20,791$9,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,148.761,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Under53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,60010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0004040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.996943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.949650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd1…8cadbacked Over46c17,550$8,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,477.081540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under29c17,489$4,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,988.6144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Over47c15,395$7,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,159.2815337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under34c14,703$4,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,967.0556541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c14,620$8,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,046.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over47c13,686$6,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,313.8429633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7b3…74a5backed Over48c13,355$6,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,944.631392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.2wins+0.40per pick53cpaid+106.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under24c12,680$3,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,043.2825038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under52c11,400$5,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,927.924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under54c11,327$6,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,116.3419038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under24c11,251$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.9215844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.345428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under52c10,586$5,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,504.5753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Over62c10,486$6,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,984.626154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Under52c10,416$5,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,416.447050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over68c10,000$6,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.7616957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over67c9,999$6,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,301.59742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under35c9,488$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.7342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under55c9,191$5,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,054.952842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under32c8,880$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.4817550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over68c8,189$5,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.1832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over46c8,113$3,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,356.336247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over46c8,046$3,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,338.631,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over46c8,017$3,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,322.821,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over46c8,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,32036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,239.987653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under15c7,977$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.2644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over75c7,917$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.4719529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under52c7,448$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.856842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over46c6,980$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.583,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under27c5,579$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5204744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under52c5,384$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.6821849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Over68c5,323$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.3927236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over68c4,995$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.8638333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over58c4,749$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.762,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c4,515$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.281,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c4,411$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over46c4,366$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.6218633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.914445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over46c4,311$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.2632739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over68c4,265$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.857448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c4,229$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.732,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over75c4,030$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.5510355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4804568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over47c3,965$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.9816637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over67c3,856$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.4711561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over79c3,843$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under35c3,808$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.1636235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over51c3,351$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.4933544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over46c3,333$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.8214348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Under54c3,333$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.8112343.1%53 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over46c3,200$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over68c3,065$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.024,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5908337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6207733.8%26 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9623255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9622643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1841…87efbacked Over75c2,941$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.724238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under40c2,929$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.8437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe51f…473dbacked Under54c2,873$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.262142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over63c2,862$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.52,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over46c2,800$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under43c2,753$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.092,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over66c2,637$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.3818943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over46c2,573$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.21,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under16c2,568$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.7746012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under53c2,537$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.7250243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.