TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$469,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$602,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe154…0b7fbacked Under3c130,103$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.995219.2%10 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c29,197$11,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,458.33,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under46c15,663$7,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,167.461566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c13,278$7,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,985.533,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under39c11,472$4,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,474.0613738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under42c6,441$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.3336250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under6c6,249$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.9824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under55c4,695$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.252737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over31c4,256$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.958723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over62c3,651$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.541,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under43c3,390$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.5437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over66c3,365$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.9436234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over32c3,126$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.3537223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over62c2,815$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.911,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c2,709$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.224,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over78c2,548$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.954264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over57c2,423$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.864,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c2,169$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.492,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over32c2,129$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.666445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under41c2,112$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.6725049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over48c2,075$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.8727655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under32c2,066$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.2151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over63c2,055$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.436539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over62c2,050$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.9843737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under69c2,023$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.5792038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9664443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under68c1,971$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.5974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c1,927$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.793,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over47c1,847$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.235244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over59c1,826$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.662,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over32c1,750$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under45c1,634$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.9416755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over64c1,566$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.3921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed Over32c1,531$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.244131.7%13 W · 28 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ace…ea51backed Under39c1,526$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under45c1,477$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.6829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over32c1,438$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.52937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over71c1,418$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.5346939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92be…3475backed Over50c1,273$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.365362.3%33 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under36c1,265$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.5439933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under68c1,250$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9825857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under68c1,200$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under24c1,154$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.112,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4980…a14cbacked Under37c1,068$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-56.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0785…5405backed Under38c1,051$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Under68c999.96$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.974429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.7416637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5419342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under51c916.26$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.299650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over55c893.13$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.081,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under69c817.32$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.873,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over54c815.05$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.5633438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under43c802.26$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4219649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over72c771.2$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8910242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1159…c711backed Over74c755.44$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.137346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under52c685.46$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.4424058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under26c666.66$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3334731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ec…8d8ebacked Over70c653.84$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.517245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42516123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under31c619.17$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4870750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under69c606.3$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.181,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c605.19$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.7583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Over62c603.23$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2320354.7%111 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under7c602.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0442126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over31c601.71$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.1812241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under37c577.12$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9638745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Over57c526.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.628158%47 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under68c509.99$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.7936838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over63c502.77$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.771,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under36c500.29$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.022,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Over32c496.88$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.8821227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over66c491$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.941,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under27c488.89$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Over66c454.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.723440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c62…06fcbacked Over48c438.15$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.842045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Over32c409.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7920825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over67c409.67$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1422932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over50c404.57$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0417938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Over61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1566536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1485538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under18c389.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.382,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under43c383.34$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9469744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over70c370.36$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.386728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over64c316.03$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.492,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over31c313.65$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4223729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over31c310.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.128338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over56c264.83$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.281,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under36c259.59$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over73c255$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8530642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c2…e754backed Over62c252.95$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.122373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over71c251.49$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9334533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under48c224.6$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over58c215$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.922153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bdc…f776backed Under34c213.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.586538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under6c213$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.151,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over75c206.31$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8922560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.