TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$518,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$548,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Over12c70,797$8,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,825.91,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over19c37,044$6,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,886.991,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over24c13,258$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.2342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under66c8,422$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.537431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over12c8,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over13c7,777$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.0132029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over12c6,500$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.58617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over16c6,316$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.6135424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over16c6,236$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over15c4,684$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.2832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over16c4,444$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.0442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c4,341$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over17c4,299$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.712,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1129…6f00backed Under73c4,066$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.42665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c3,512$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under79c3,442$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.873464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over12c3,300$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.9934125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4099…b04abacked Over2c3,255$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.613435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over13c3,014$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9921640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1603…913bbacked Under71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.913453%71 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over17c2,680$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.582,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over13c2,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under68c2,488$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.8411149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over19c2,453$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46645428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over15c2,354$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7525339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over21c2,333$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.0313542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under77c2,145$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.7838333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over14c2,100$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.998052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under79c1,902$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.5565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdff…24ddbacked Under71c1,659$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.373164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over12c1,600$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19043826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2d…60f3backed Over31c1,598$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001010%1 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-78.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Over13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009114.3%13 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Over13c1,505$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.632623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over19c1,500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a02…8b73backed Under67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.546647%31 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f14…64d0backed Over17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over34c1,471$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.7627931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over14c1,455$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Over14c1,435$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3453514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under70c1,419$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.5122029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7307…6681backed Over15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under76c1,249$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.7658942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over9c1,142$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.934964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over10c1,115$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7136234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under70c1,100$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33037451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over8c1,100$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8423427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over15c1,100$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9627845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under74c1,074$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.824,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over29c1,047$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4430142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Over12c1,042$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Over25c990$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9813448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Over31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d4e…c662backed Under76c949.98$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.54153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over15c948.07$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.742,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over23c938.56$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under71c932.57$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.5219946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under65c916.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.0813727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Over11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6290…d7c1backed Under72c833.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3314244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f43…e4aebacked Over12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008118.5%15 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9615920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over18c786.56$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9511520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over30c740.4$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0269744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over22c732.94$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa817…1c3bbacked Under73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9314854.7%81 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under73c642.92$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2857541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0271…731ebacked Over4c625$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.251838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under78c623.5$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.173,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over24c623.25$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3338745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ef…1829backed Over31c599.43$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.821942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2555…8a08backed Over13c588.46$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.580%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over20c586.16$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11633544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc952…3c89backed Over15c586$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.744235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over8c574$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89c5…24d1backed Over14c570.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.89020%18 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Over27c565.4$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.237828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over15c563.24$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8992732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Under71c562.26$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2632733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf935…104ebacked Under74c522.78$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.923545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Over13c511$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.434736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…0eb0backed Over18c500$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922412.5%3 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-62.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0b3d…9e41backed Under79c499.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under72c499.51$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9229740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over16c490$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.139932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf0…cad2backed Under73c476.86$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8610040%40 W · 60 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde63…46c2backed Over12c469.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.310727.1%29 W · 78 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over11c455$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516418.8%12 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefcd…a07bbacked Under68c435.96$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.512676.9%20 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over17c435$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6346230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.