TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes5c4,846$266 inLost-$265.515219.2%10 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c3,865$584 inLost-$584.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…5859backed Yes16c1,599$256 inLost-$255.792317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes15c1,394$209 inLost-$209.384,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes15c1,200$180 inLost-$1804216.7%7 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-75.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost-$15017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked No80c787.5$630 inWon+$157.535244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost-$10019124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes9c633.61$58 inLost-$58.52,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked Yes10c575$60 inLost-$6012844.5%57 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Yes15c563$82 inLost-$82.2224950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes11c495.23$54 inLost-$54.331,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8f…56e5backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost-$506530.8%20 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ea…9e46backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost-$502718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes15c315.16$48 inLost-$48.4510737.4%40 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Yes15c261$39 inLost-$39.157911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes28c242.61$68 inLost-$68.161,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1382…a266backed Yes15c200$30 inLost-$302839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes14c200$29 inLost-$294827.1%13 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd436…f521backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$205541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…560fbacked Yes16c126.88$20 inLost-$205817.2%10 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost-$2020729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4629…ab9abacked Yes15c106.67$16 inLost-$165324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…3d96backed Yes15c100$15 inLost-$155954.2%32 W · 27 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c48…1c17backed Yes15c100$15 inLost-$1512251.6%63 W · 59 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No67c62$42 inWon+$20.462,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8ae…a219backed Yes29c50$15 inLost-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d8…7520backed No77c48.01$37 inWon+$11.043246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb51…d5d1backed Yes24c41.6$10 inLost-$103740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No67c36.35$24 inWon+$11.862,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6feb…66b2backed No78c25.64$20 inWon+$5.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.