Spread: Japan (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x816e42b7b73201b74beb77d1065f7b6cc6979d54216e21ae0670b7a43da9ef24

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Japanof Japan, Tunisia
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,619,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,768,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,619,575 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia	63c	411,441$260,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260,044.12	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Japan	46c	211,821$97,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114,640.16	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Japan	20c	186,069$37,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148,304.84	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Japan	33c	89,469$29,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,968.55	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Tunisia	65c	83,531$54,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,233.16	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Japan	51c	58,187$29,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,611.45	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Tunisia	49c	53,804$26,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,482.61	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Tunisia	47c	53,320$25,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,060.47	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Japan	31c	50,430$15,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,796.5	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Tunisia	45c	50,000$22,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,499.95	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Tunisia	72c	43,811$31,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,530.1	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Tunisia	77c	40,735$31,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,241.38	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Tunisia	74c	38,581$28,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,540.98	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Japan	53c	30,000$15,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,100	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tunisia	49c	26,300$12,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,958.05	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Japan	20c	24,979$4,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,983.48	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Japan	39c	17,508$6,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,689.55	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Japan	25c	16,878$4,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,621.13	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Japan	20c	14,880$3,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,870.26	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Japan	19c	14,518$2,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,771.64	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Tunisia	47c	13,575$6,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,415.85	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Japan	20c	12,500$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Japan	20c	12,500$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Tunisia	54c	11,276$6,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,088.86	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x543f…37b2backed Japan	19c	10,620$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,620.34	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.47per pick	28cpaid	+280.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Japan	20c	10,360$2,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,288.28	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Japan	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,900	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Tunisia	80c	8,830$7,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,059.9	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Tunisia	80c	8,504$6,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,802.36	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Japan	73c	8,173$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,173.05	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Japan	52c	7,534$3,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,590.72	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Japan	52c	7,500$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Japan	52c	7,232$3,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,475.28	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tunisia	73c	6,981$5,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,130.74	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Japan	80c	6,514$5,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.31	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Tunisia	79c	6,324$4,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,995.63	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Japan	56c	6,004$3,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,612.11	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Tunisia	14c	5,631$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.22	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Japan	21c	5,494$1,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,346.83	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Tunisia	78c	5,055$3,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,943.25	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Tunisia	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dab…55dabacked Japan	48c	5,000$2,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,580	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Japan	26c	5,000$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,725	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Tunisia	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Tunisia	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,449.99	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Tunisia	79c	5,000$3,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,949.99	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Tunisia	59c	5,000$2,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,954.14	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Japan	48c	4,939$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,589.17	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed Japan	21c	4,762$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,761.9	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Japan	22c	4,550$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,549.22	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Japan	22c	4,500$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,524.69	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Japan	51c	3,828$1,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,875.93	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Japan	21c	3,810$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,009.52	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Japan	43c	3,689$1,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,099.61	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Japan	73c	3,476$2,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.92	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Japan	71c	3,447$2,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.41	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e4…8048backed Japan	15c	3,400$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,890	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Japan	80c	3,115$2,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.99	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Japan	69c	3,011$2,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$937.95	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Tunisia	79c	3,000$2,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,369.96	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…5405backed Japan	41c	2,961$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760.78	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tunisia	71c	2,889$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040.45	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Tunisia	66c	2,842$1,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,870.09	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Japan	19c	2,798$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,266.7	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Japan	18c	2,778$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,277.78	302	19.9%60 W · 242 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3aae…b7d0backed Japan	51c	2,640$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,289.76	115	53.9%62 W · 53 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Japan	19c	2,632$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,131.58	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Japan	19c	2,632$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,131.58	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Japan	80c	2,500$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	88	71.6%63 W · 25 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb933…ab68backed Japan	21c	2,500$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,975	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tunisia	27c	2,410$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.18	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Japan	21c	2,400$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,896	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	27cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Japan	42c	2,175$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,255.59	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Japan	20c	2,160$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,730.92	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Japan	21c	2,052$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,621.38	301	42.5%128 W · 173 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Japan	21c	2,000$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,580	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Tunisia	50c	2,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Japan	20c	2,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.99	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Japan	51c	1,976$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976.3	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tunisia	1c	1,904$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc658…64acbacked Japan	17c	1,882$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,562.35	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Japan	52c	1,766$924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.05	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Japan	51c	1,765$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.71	205	47.3%97 W · 108 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Japan	53c	1,675$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.47	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Tunisia	48c	1,599$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.4	96	50%48 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…c012backed Japan	19c	1,579$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.95	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	+26%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Japan	19c	1,579$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.95	80	26.3%21 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x54a3…9b39backed Japan	39c	1,528$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$931.28	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Japan	20c	1,500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked Tunisia	80c	1,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Tunisia	64c	1,476$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.1	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe512…43d1backed Japan	19c	1,458$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,185.26	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Japan	21c	1,412$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,115.84	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Japan	52c	1,400$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672	214	29.4%63 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Tunisia	59c	1,354$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.72	187	65.2%122 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Japan	21c	1,337$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.23	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x063c…686abacked Japan	53c	1,294$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.21	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Tunisia	8c	1,270$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.84	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Japan	20c	1,269$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,016.6	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed Japan	21c	1,253$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.83	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Japan (-2.5)this page
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-3.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-4.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Japan (-5.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Japan won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Japan (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event