TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$670,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$898,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over32c156,702$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,702.119644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under68c143,205$97,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,379.2574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c104,502$54,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,148.184,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over52c28,951$14,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,034.734,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under36c27,000$9,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,615.7925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c16,832$8,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,402.324,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over61c15,967$9,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,271.772,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c10,019$5,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.122,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Over51c9,414$4,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,632.046134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over58c8,787$5,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.521,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under61c8,496$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,150.113,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over71c8,321$5,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.0242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over57c7,152$4,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,041.731,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over56c7,131$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.391,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over29c5,926$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.252,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c5,095$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,352.962,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under36c3,699$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.031,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over60c3,412$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.291,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Under30c3,318$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9835219.2%10 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7b3…74a5backed Over31c3,206$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.451392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.2wins+0.40per pick53cpaid+106.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Under37c2,651$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.649840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c2,519$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.473,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under52c2,483$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.321,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over76c2,093$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.8659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4a8…5604backed Over30c2,067$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.674637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.628842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Over30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40014234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over29c1,759$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.6235244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over30c1,584$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.822943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under70c1,546$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.753,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.6835424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c1,482$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Over28c1,432$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.1413843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Over62c1,380$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.496741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Over54c1,275$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.53030%9 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over51c1,159$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.442,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Over45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1111038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over28c1,083$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.689752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over64c1,048$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.561,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over30c1,001$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.0458029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb048…7f07backed Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7009148.4%44 W · 47 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7170…0534backed Over28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.993630.6%11 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under74c999.9$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9219545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over53c992.35$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.0143246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Over28c956.29$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.5318436.4%67 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Under14c951.56$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.164119.5%8 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.414539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over62c900$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34227845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over48c894.45$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.541,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7a…d48dbacked Over30c864.53$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.531323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under22c847.17$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.892,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over65c818.46$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.468156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6863…300bbacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.459045.6%41 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb3…727bbacked Over63c801.68$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.622544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over65c756.66$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.6117938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over54c754.5$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.532,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over31c714.32$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.8813948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under73c704.29$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.83,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4518…25b0backed Over28c699.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.991741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed Over29c697.88$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.413036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9bb…166ebacked Over70c613.09$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.753063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under31c604.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.932,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Under47c600.6$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.2535034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d20…dffabacked Over65c596.48$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.776250%31 W · 31 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+46.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over64c572.54$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.111,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over31c571.65$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.444940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under71c569.84$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.581,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6071…e933backed Over69c565.22$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.223053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+51%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8f8…54bdbacked Over42c554.76$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.7623943.1%103 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over29c550$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.515144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over44c548.11$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.113653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under71c509.99$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.0936838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over30c509.15$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.5947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over59c507.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.32352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under69c500.1$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.071,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f19…77e3backed Over30c485.67$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.974223.8%10 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over49c478.61$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.242,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Over42c476.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.484922.4%11 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8922backed Over61c472.13$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.131050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+52.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under70c471.31$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.992,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…fd2ebacked Over49c443.86$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.372055%11 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+54.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under70c420.01$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.781,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9665948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under70c407.92$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.321,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Over50c396.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.388158%47 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over51c385.01$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.722,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over30c384.22$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.823,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under34c381.19$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under71c366.67$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.122,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under69c355$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9551315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5473…f736backed Over43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.847218.1%13 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under72c347$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.842,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over30c346.61$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6cf…4228backed Over29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8316448.2%79 W · 85 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f4…d2c5backed Under59c334.29$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.233161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b34…c6efbacked Over30c330$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2314944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Over27c326.35$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.355527.3%15 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf73b…c326backed Over31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Over31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5814841.9%62 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.