TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,686,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,787,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,686,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 779 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c285,869$174,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174,819.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under51c245,458$125,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,809.417550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Over47c148,491$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,490.8211645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over42c113,332$47,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,699.2542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Under75c98,625$73,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,956.724158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over56c62,929$35,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,414.264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over26c56,985$14,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,072.931,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over47c55,137$25,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,464.5314843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over39c52,000$20,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,482.449747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over40c37,074$14,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,244.554456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over40c35,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,00021029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over43c25,114$10,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,407.2838333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c24,880$8,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,928.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under58c23,569$13,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,688.411,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over42c21,710$9,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,651.2677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under76c20,000$15,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,2004040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over37c19,648$7,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,402.791,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over51c16,093$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,892.7819529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under64c14,317$9,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,137.642,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under48c11,782$5,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,644.6128251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under60c11,465$6,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,882.0925844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c11,032$4,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,457.83,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under54c10,316$5,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,570.8718543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over47c10,120$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,335.171,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over26c10,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over41c9,779$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,778.737448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under51c9,422$4,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,835.4836235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under53c8,633$4,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,575.1115844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under73c8,023$5,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,856.6774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under60c7,500$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over25c7,352$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,526.9895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under59c6,750$3,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,982.58931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over38c6,018$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,724.5732656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Under55c5,334$2,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.242040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over63c5,291$3,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.2159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over26c5,247$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,882.8232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Under60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0008723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over41c4,878$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.0424533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c4,754$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over39c4,746$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.532,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under4c4,494$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8228229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over47c4,300$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2798052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under45c4,195$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.8642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.9913543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under53c3,909$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.7922450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under55c3,818$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Under54c3,629$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.599840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c3,615$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,676.12,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7307…6681backed Over56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.431827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under73c3,500$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.9786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under60c3,369$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.35846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under54c3,360$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.5944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over26c3,331$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.633920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under52c3,248$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.8910851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd3…5f3fbacked Under63c3,136$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.351533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Under62c3,000$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8705137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb933…ab68backed Over27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1904727.7%13 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5905846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over45c2,875$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.9736437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over45c2,839$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.365251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over26c2,800$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,07244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over37c2,783$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.962,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over49c2,733$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.9223857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over27c2,593$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.5989443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over32c2,500$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.9838526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under75c2,457$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.9552744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over40c2,153$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.0836234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c2,100$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.861,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ee…945dbacked Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over26c2,072$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.1658029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under48c2,059$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99611149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under60c2,025$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2159243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x806e…2e52backed Under75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Over26c1,923$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.0812329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over27c1,919$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.3145428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under64c1,880$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Over27c1,804$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.068723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over41c1,724$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.2425339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over43c1,689$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.5421641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over25c1,600$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.9943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over41c1,576$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.9398439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over25c1,520$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.0314323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Under14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104119.5%8 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over34c1,500$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Under61c1,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9154456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.9735424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over27c1,481$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.4830142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over32c1,452$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.2933544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…9df6backed Over47c1,411$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.647368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under51c1,390$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.914250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Under58c1,389$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under59c1,385$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.052,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.