TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,534 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f98…c81abacked Over60c4,743$2,854 inWon+$1,888.716134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c2,184$867 inLost-$866.824,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over59c1,853$1,100 inWon+$753.6422943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Under41c1,512$620 inLost-$6203525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c765.9$312 inLost-$311.983,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c745.56$319 inLost-$318.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c736.68$429 inWon+$307.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under41c514.61$211 inLost-$210.997346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under40c500$200 inLost-$20045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed Under41c487.8$200 inLost-$2003551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under42c470.39$199 inLost-$198.7392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over59c394.01$233 inWon+$161.23,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c336.99$142 inLost-$142.13,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under40c259.99$104 inLost-$103.9936838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under39c247.74$97 inLost-$96.621,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon+$75.4443246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon+$72.4114624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon+$69.4918544.9%83 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under43c166.54$71 inLost-$70.815156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c165.72$68 inLost-$67.92,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over61c164.1$100 inWon+$64.151045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under40c150$60 inLost-$606124.6%15 W · 46 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over57c144.39$82 inWon+$62.0947049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…c701backed Over59c115.64$68 inWon+$47.417136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02e9…443bbacked Over55c100$55 inWon+$454746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon+$36.218846.6%41 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9fc…96cdbacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon+$33.336457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon+$33.336665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under41c79.99$33 inLost-$32.81,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over58c65.9$38 inWon+$27.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe103…9526backed Under39c60.66$24 inLost-$23.661656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under42c55.42$23 inLost-$23.3232855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under41c55.34$23 inLost-$22.6941231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under43c50$22 inLost-$21.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over60c50$30 inWon+$2012048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bf…81dbbacked Over56c26.79$15 inWon+$11.7910040%40 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under44c26$11 inLost-$11.4431149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4666…3a55backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon+$10.426457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under44c23.56$10 inLost-$10.2631550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7957…18cfbacked Over57c22.81$13 inWon+$9.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.