TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,711 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over11c22,599$2,486 inLost-$2,485.9225038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked Over15c6,057$900 inLost-$9004112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over7c3,769$275 inLost-$274.584,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over8c2,714$217 inLost-$217.122,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over14c1,814$254 inLost-$253.943,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over15c1,026$154 inLost-$153.9212724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over14c864.85$121 inLost-$121.083,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Over16c812.5$130 inLost-$13041231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over3c732.78$21 inLost-$20.922,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5c…d8debacked Over14c714.29$100 inLost-$1006311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c695.03$28 inLost-$27.792,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost-$10019713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c7…5a3dbacked Over16c571.81$91 inLost-$91.491323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over14c563.39$80 inLost-$79.751,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over14c545.28$77 inLost-$77.211,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over16c499.99$80 inLost-$8095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over14c490$69 inLost-$68.63,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over17c439.91$75 inLost-$74.7848937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c301.5$24 inLost-$24.124,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Over8c250$20 inLost-$205219.2%10 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over12c216.16$25 inLost-$25.081,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Over19c187.5$36 inLost-$35.6311642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over15c150$23 inLost-$22.546525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e21…233ebacked Over15c138.33$21 inLost-$20.752556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c58…7760backed Over14c134.36$19 inLost-$18.8160%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Over16c125$20 inLost-$2020224.3%49 W · 153 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d9…c776backed Over15c100.73$15 inLost-$15.112441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.