Spread: Japan (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9a378539d1237007a9d0f50d8570b26b2ccebdcd17574f2a8391c451050b55e

Rebuilt 32 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Japanof Japan, Tunisia
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $705,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $749,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $705,885 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Japan	22c	202,617$45,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157,462.89	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia	79c	189,571$149,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149,185.54	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Japan	13c	49,999$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,499.28	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tunisia	39c	25,083$9,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,845.35	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x543f…37b2backed Japan	14c	13,623$1,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,750.59	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.47per pick	28cpaid	+280.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tunisia	52c	13,210$6,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,930.13	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Japan	8c	12,500$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,500	144	33.3%48 W · 96 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Japan	7c	11,768$824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,944.03	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Japan	32c	11,579$3,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,847.27	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Japan	7c	10,900$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,137	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Japan	39c	10,568$4,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,404.51	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Japan	41c	10,319$4,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,052.79	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Japan	26c	7,373$1,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,429.84	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Japan	19c	6,474$1,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,216.82	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Japan	8c	6,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,550	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Japan	20c	5,555$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,444	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Tunisia	75c	5,362$4,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,021.66	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Japan	8c	5,271$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,849.32	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Japan	8c	3,750$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,450	124	29%36 W · 88 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x760c…5a5dbacked Japan	9c	3,611$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,286.11	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Japan	9c	2,667$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,426.67	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Japan	8c	2,500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	302	19.9%60 W · 242 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Tunisia	8c	2,452$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.02	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Tunisia	7c	2,355$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.79	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Tunisia	40c	2,324$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.41	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89dc…c012backed Japan	8c	2,218$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040.56	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	+26%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Tunisia	76c	2,195$1,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,670.35	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Japan	7c	1,889$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,752.4	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Tunisia	7c	1,724$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.65	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Japan	31c	1,419$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.35	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5911…9920backed Japan	7c	1,385$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290.91	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+390%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Japan	8c	1,300$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,195.99	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a54…eb40backed Japan	8c	1,168$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,074.33	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+116%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Japan	9c	1,111$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.11	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Japan	41c	1,100$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.73	399	32.6%130 W · 269 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Japan	9c	1,099$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.09	262	16%42 W · 220 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6787…6044backed Tunisia	79c	1,068$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Japan	8c	1,038$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$954.5	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Japan	8c	1,008$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.9	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Japan	8c	1,000$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	283	37.1%105 W · 178 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Japan	8c	1,000$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	200	17%34 W · 166 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Japan	20c	1,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	205	47.3%97 W · 108 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf93c…7ab3backed Japan	8c	980.63$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.18	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	32cpaid	+285.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e59…51f2backed Japan	22c	947.63$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.63	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Japan	30c	930.27$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.29	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Japan	8c	902.11$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.81	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Japan	20c	860.79$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.9	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Japan	8c	852.38$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.19	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Tunisia	75c	804.47$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.22	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Japan	8c	762.5$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.5	109	29.4%32 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9a…2a64backed Japan	30c	756.97$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.88	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Japan	6c	750$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705	96	22.9%22 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Japan	9c	733.99$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.93	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Japan	15c	683.05$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.05	148	39.9%59 W · 89 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Tunisia	78c	644.36$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Tunisia	68c	642.75$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.09	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Japan	31c	612.9$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.9	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+6.7wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Japan	30c	600$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	138	26.1%36 W · 102 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Japan	9c	600$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546	184	36.4%67 W · 117 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Japan	7c	600$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8837…ebd1backed Japan	8c	598.13$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.28	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+49%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Japan	7c	596.28$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.54	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Japan	7c	555.27$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.4	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Japan	13c	536.15$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.45	81	21%17 W · 64 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Japan	32c	518.01$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.99	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Tunisia	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Japan	30c	490.77$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.77	93	58.1%54 W · 39 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Japan	8c	490$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.8	79	11.4%9 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d76…92b5backed Japan	10c	450$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Japan	22c	448.95$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.18	134	38.1%51 W · 83 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7a…d48dbacked Japan	8c	417.63$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.22	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Japan	13c	400$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.04	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Japan	7c	400$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7dc…2e5ebacked Japan	30c	400$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1982…5ed8backed Japan	25c	400$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tunisia	54c	355.26$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.31	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2422…0cc4backed Japan	8c	350.78$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.72	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+79.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Japan	14c	345.24$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.24	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783e…2eadbacked Tunisia	70c	334.29$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Japan	9c	333.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.33	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Japan	9c	333.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.33	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Japan	9c	333.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.33	155	22.6%35 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Tunisia	69c	330.94$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.24	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Tunisia	70c	329.04$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.24	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f3…ec52backed Japan	8c	300$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	+8.6wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Japan	9c	277.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.78	365	34.2%125 W · 240 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Japan	21c	259.43$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.05	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Tunisia	9c	250.26$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.58	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Japan	6c	250$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a74…9a36backed Japan	6c	250$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7e2…8fb6backed Japan	14c	249.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.99	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+4.3wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+181.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde5d…ca66backed Japan	31c	232.32$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.14	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Japan	31c	230$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.7	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Japan	30c	223.8$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.66	88	42%37 W · 51 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Tunisia	6c	221.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c48…f6f6backed Japan	25c	212$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4520…9182backed Japan	24c	208.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.33	151	46.4%70 W · 81 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb8…135cbacked Japan	7c	200$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Japan	25c	200$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b71…f840backed Japan	61c	200$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Japan (-3.5)this page
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-4.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Japan (-5.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Japan won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Japan (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event