Spread: Japan (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabcd94970a42787bb01726ff703134cf666434b9bdaa288505290e6a4b339fc0

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Japanof Japan, Tunisia
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,564,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,898,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,564,203 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd66e…051fbacked Tunisia	61c	1,265,686$765,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765,843.32	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Japan	39c	685,729$269,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415,784.53	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cb…e9fdbacked Tunisia	61c	393,421$239,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239,052.45	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia	52c	299,262$156,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156,187.42	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed Tunisia	61c	275,571$167,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167,154.23	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Japan	40c	275,000$110,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164,549.85	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Japan	49c	201,910$99,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102,052.61	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Japan	43c	180,687$77,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103,687.05	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Tunisia	58c	174,461$100,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100,370.36	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Japan	39c	119,466$46,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,616.48	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Tunisia	58c	107,152$61,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,869.46	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Japan	40c	104,688$41,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,912.77	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Japan	39c	100,000$38,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61,089.72	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Japan	39c	90,858$35,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,423.56	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Japan	40c	88,888$35,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,332.8	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Japan	47c	86,900$41,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,854.29	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Japan	39c	74,479$29,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,432.19	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Tunisia	59c	70,227$41,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,227.16	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Tunisia	59c	68,092$39,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,999	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8c…6b71backed Japan	40c	63,000$25,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,800	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Japan	40c	55,938$22,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,830.69	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274c…da86backed Japan	41c	49,328$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,328.47	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.26per pick	34cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Japan	40c	49,140$19,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,484.28	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Japan	42c	46,165$19,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,645.27	46	67.4%31 W · 15 L	+9.3wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Japan	40c	38,828$15,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,261.85	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Japan	41c	32,371$13,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,225.5	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Tunisia	62c	30,000$18,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,449.99	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Japan	41c	28,500$11,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,815	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Japan	41c	26,829$11,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,829.27	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Japan	42c	26,400$11,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,312	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Japan	40c	24,999$10,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,949.35	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Tunisia	59c	24,628$14,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,416.83	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Japan	41c	24,000$9,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,160	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…5b07backed Japan	36c	23,176$8,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,832.63	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Japan	39c	21,379$8,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,018.68	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Japan	40c	20,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,000	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Tunisia	57c	20,000$11,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,399.99	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Japan	42c	19,998$8,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,698.8	86	60.5%52 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Japan	36c	19,537$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,536.82	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Japan	39c	18,000$7,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,980	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Tunisia	59c	16,949$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Japan	42c	16,717$7,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,695.6	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Japan	40c	16,410$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,910.26	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.9wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Japan	39c	15,911$6,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,705.65	203	33.5%68 W · 135 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tunisia	59c	15,469$9,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,113.72	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Japan	42c	15,000$6,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,700	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Tunisia	60c	15,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	100	59%59 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Tunisia	49c	15,000$7,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,299.99	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Tunisia	64c	14,561$9,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,319.06	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93aa…4ab1backed Japan	41c	14,278$5,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,424.76	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Tunisia	55c	13,479$7,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,348.1	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Japan	40c	12,500$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Tunisia	16c	12,500$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Japan	46c	12,204$5,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,554.36	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Japan	40c	12,194$4,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,299.41	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Japan	42c	11,905$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,904.76	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Japan	58c	10,014$5,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,225.73	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Japan	39c	10,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,100	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Tunisia	63c	10,000$6,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,299.78	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Tunisia	58c	9,437$5,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,498.25	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Tunisia	60c	9,000$5,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,357.45	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Japan	56c	8,929$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,928.57	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Tunisia	61c	8,249$5,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,036.53	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Japan	37c	8,197$3,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,159.74	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Japan	40c	8,160$3,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,896	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Tunisia	58c	8,000$4,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,640	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Tunisia	58c	7,979$4,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,627.82	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Tunisia	60c	7,334$4,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,427.29	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Japan	39c	7,000$2,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,270	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Japan	41c	6,938$2,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,093.25	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Tunisia	60c	6,667$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Japan	39c	6,621$2,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,038.91	175	44%77 W · 98 L	+9.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked Japan	41c	6,341$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,741.46	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Japan	40c	6,250$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,750	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Japan	40c	6,000$2,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,630	126	55.6%70 W · 56 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Tunisia	60c	6,000$3,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,580	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Tunisia	57c	6,000$3,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,419.95	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Japan	61c	5,765$3,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,223.38	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Tunisia	62c	5,713$3,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,542.33	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Japan	39c	5,555$2,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,388.55	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Japan	39c	5,533$2,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,375.33	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Japan	38c	5,211$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,230.53	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Japan	39c	5,128$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,128.21	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Japan	40c	5,056$2,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,033.89	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Japan	41c	5,000$2,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,950	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tunisia	60c	5,000$3,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,007.1	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Japan	58c	4,828$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,027.59	272	36%98 W · 174 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Japan	41c	4,722$1,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,785.75	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Tunisia	60c	4,699$2,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,812.32	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Japan	52c	4,661$2,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,223.2	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc153…a68fbacked Japan	58c	4,596$2,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,930.32	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+62%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Japan	41c	4,499$1,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,654.35	55	63.6%35 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Japan	61c	4,398$2,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,733.16	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Japan	41c	4,390$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,590.24	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+28%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Japan	78c	4,390$3,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.78	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Japan	76c	4,167$3,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.25	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Japan	39c	4,144$1,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,512.1	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Tunisia	59c	4,130$2,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,436.58	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Tunisia	61c	4,022$2,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,454	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Tunisia	57c	4,000$2,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,289.96	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Japan (-1.5)this page
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-3.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-4.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Japan (-5.5)Tunisia won
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Japan won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event