TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under14c60,467$8,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,728.214,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under27c20,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9815950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over73c17,182$12,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,639.135841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Under28c16,600$4,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,707.461241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over73c15,122$11,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,083.0710355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under27c12,994$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,477.1777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under10c8,237$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.811,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over77c7,746$5,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Over73c6,575$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.342556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under26c5,946$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.712,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under12c5,827$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.262,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over73c5,516$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.191,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over73c5,479$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.458672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ef…1829backed Under9c5,476$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under27c4,647$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.221,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over73c4,178$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.0830465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under27c4,132$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.032,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over72c3,991$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.618158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under9c3,560$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under8c3,358$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0939933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over79c3,168$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.8359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under26c2,948$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.550243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under12c2,773$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.771,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a52…5da4backed Over73c2,469$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.561464.3%9 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under27c2,408$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.1364443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under19c2,188$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.232,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Over74c2,117$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.534854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over73c1,994$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.862,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c9…1e01backed Over73c1,966$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.835168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under3c1,791$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2515929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under28c1,701$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.2328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over73c1,662$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.6433544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c1,651$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.81,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under22c1,561$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6758942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under27c1,395$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4b…fc54backed Over73c1,367$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.191233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over73c1,366$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5737955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.356666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…3eb7backed Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.355147.1%24 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under1c1,230$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under27c1,158$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.833,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Over73c1,088$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9518436.4%67 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under9c1,050$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.530626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under28c1,010$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.261,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under28c1,010$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.21,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under27c1,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under27c879.95$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.641,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over74c824.56$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.695037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55a…75a6backed Over74c785.42$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.215076%38 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under7c761.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3329030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over73c723.47$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.349462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under11c719.54$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.161,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under27c707.01$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under28c679.93$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.791,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6863152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Under28c642.86$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18045932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under27c618$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.863,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Under3c579.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.875219.2%10 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Under27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011335.4%40 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13539932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509846.9%46 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under12c488$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5626949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30de…1f9dbacked Over73c453.67$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.497352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under27c444.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under26c431.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3213548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8796…4b9abacked Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2f…ac93backed Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.413467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Over73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1048951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under29c399$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Over73c389.19$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0810754.2%58 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under9c385.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.741,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under27c379.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5382348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under19c375$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.546445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under10c365.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2570750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under18c356.19$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.114,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095b…7e74backed Under27c335.96$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21d…f351backed Over71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877259.7%43 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a03…4066backed Over73c278.08$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.081540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+61.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7621…944bbacked Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.785570.9%39 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d3…5554backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7834524.1%83 W · 262 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa64…9dcdbacked Over73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.976357.1%36 W · 27 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under11c245.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.042,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under8c241.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4823951.9%124 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.483658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea8…b4a3backed Over74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.74557.8%26 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412846.1%59 W · 69 L-12.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410851.9%56 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5415253.3%81 W · 71 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Under27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5432317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe76a…37c4backed Under28c193.25$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1110253.9%55 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Under8c193.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.466624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2207…036abacked Under27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…ae15backed Under25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.71353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c5…2e6bbacked Over73c178.37$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.163844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.