TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$695,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$886,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,791 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c157,825$65,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,301.784,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over60c124,972$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,971.5819644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under42c67,746$28,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,303.2777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over58c35,937$20,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,019.422,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over58c33,333$19,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,999.8542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c24,064$9,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,636.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under39c22,888$8,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,926.5174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Over57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,599.998845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c17,693$6,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,576.614,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c17,472$7,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,272.873,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over60c16,801$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,800.7431644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under38c16,006$6,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,106.6177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over59c12,815$7,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,263.566848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under41c12,542$5,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,197.761,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under42c12,259$5,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,126.271,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over58c12,000$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Over58c12,000$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0404738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over57c8,780$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.6312349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over61c8,486$5,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,318.294,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Under3c8,353$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.955219.2%10 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under22c7,522$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.952,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c6,369$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c6,147$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.262,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c5,234$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.252,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over58c5,172$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.415959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over60c4,703$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Over56c4,698$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.2413843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Over56c4,448$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.373636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8cbb…e8a8backed Over58c3,746$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.255950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over57c3,508$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.4422441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over58c3,166$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.7222943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under43c3,098$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.071,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under43c3,030$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.961,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over57c2,581$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.98156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Over57c2,458$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.299150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over62c2,423$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.022,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under43c2,215$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.4858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Over59c2,178$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.882227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8801833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7170…0534backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.993630.6%11 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over73c1,921$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.841,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under41c1,863$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.381,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90c…0850backed Over57c1,760$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.86445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over58c1,727$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.938842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.4430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b3…74a5backed Over59c1,636$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.711392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.2wins+0.40per pick53cpaid+106.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under43c1,634$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.7664443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over59c1,280$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.8322846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under42c1,280$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.6492038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Over60c1,173$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0513447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…e14fbacked Over59c1,044$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.117729.9%23 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c1,043$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.81,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38016633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4518…25b0backed Over56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45019545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over58c999.91$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.6847127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over60c990.42$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.428652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c976.75$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.463,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over57c964.91$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9135244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over56c900$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.781,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Over58c807.2$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.0310359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over55c799.95$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.987949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf17…dc1abacked Over57c771.06$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.61752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Over57c754.4$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.393842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over58c722.3$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3710051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under42c715$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.317747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over75c688.01$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.521,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under37c675$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.752,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over78c660$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.511,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c657$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.12,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over55c602.37$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0710841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Over56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2644742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…a2d5backed Over57c590$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.415758%91 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over68c585.58$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.651,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under43c580$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8851315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over74c531.1$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.041,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3222449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over67c516.57$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.251,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over59c510$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.112451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under42c510$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.236838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20510752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under43c499.99$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.952455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca7e…f568backed Under42c498.96$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.993537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5512556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5513754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9bb…166ebacked Over79c441.75$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.773063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over58c440.44$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.473,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb175…0396backed Over58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.033852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3109…4ef4backed Over57c426.51$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.412025.8%31 W · 89 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under43c417.72$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.111,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under43c417.55$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5525454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17611846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over59c380$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.83354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cac…10b3backed Over58c360.84$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7712555.2%69 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over57c354.39$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3921747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over56c352.09$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9223729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.888652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Over56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15423343.3%101 W · 132 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.