TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Kings, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,611,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,842,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,611,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 551 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb2e4…bc51backed Kings23c389,681$89,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,739.4221944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Kings21c347,872$72,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,767.529641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Kings19c343,332$65,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,233.138037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Kings18c330,000$59,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,099.977941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Kings6c192,238$10,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,671.7625925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers80c189,288$151,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,204.981,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe686…13cbbacked Kings17c153,293$25,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,599.982937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Lakers80c150,000$120,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0008961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Kings19c113,985$21,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,117.2635235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Kings10c40,886$4,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,262.9316635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings18c40,224$7,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,202.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings16c30,980$5,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,056.7247028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers80c29,801$23,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,013.921,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Kings5c29,121$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.0619033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers78c25,355$19,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,529.451,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Kings17c25,000$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings6c25,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Lakers78c23,250$18,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,182.544654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Kings12c20,027$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35016130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Kings19c20,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers80c20,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.9959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers76c19,995$15,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,798.681,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers78c17,099$13,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,740.181,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Kings20c17,007$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,324.735347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Kings19c15,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8508939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Lakers80c14,875$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9758748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings15c13,596$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.5287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c13,211$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.618820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Lakers77c13,195$10,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.8389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Kings16c12,549$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings1c12,456$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.561,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings8c12,189$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.3650838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings18c11,711$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.0624831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Lakers80c11,641$9,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.632,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Kings1c11,420$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers80c10,400$8,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Kings16c9,636$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.7156945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Kings19c9,005$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.9838434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kings17c8,824$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings19c7,362$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.652,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Kings21c7,195$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.6447949.7%238 W · 241 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lakers77c7,122$5,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.272,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Kings16c7,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12017861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Lakers78c6,720$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.3648046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Kings16c6,719$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.0236741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Kings20c6,380$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2761127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Kings20c6,316$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings18c6,129$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0831,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lakers78c6,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3202,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Kings17c6,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Kings17c6,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02012843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Kings20c5,933$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.2114847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Kings17c5,585$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.4321538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Kings18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kings15c5,555$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.2576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Lakers80c5,475$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09524048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings5c5,401$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.034,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Kings16c5,100$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82364139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Kings17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8508827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae7…0fd1backed Kings10c4,700$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.255137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings0c4,447$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.867502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Kings17c4,300$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73114055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Kings13c4,300$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56130619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Kings20c4,300$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86026729.2%78 W · 189 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Lakers74c4,250$3,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1058348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb4…d00fbacked Kings16c4,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67210151.5%52 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Kings18c4,187$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Kings18c3,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Lakers78c3,423$2,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.0417141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x829d…61b6backed Kings8c3,300$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808428.6%24 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings6c3,106$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4767911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Lakers80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d63…77dcbacked Kings17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013357.9%77 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Kings18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc23…a56ebacked Kings17c2,640$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.64740.4%19 W · 28 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf7f…00c2backed Kings19c2,600$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4941145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Kings16c2,600$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42540035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings1c2,540$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.87211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Kings17c2,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43542640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Lakers65c2,500$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.517941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Kings20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Lakers65c2,500$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.510735.5%38 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Kings16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Kings20c2,443$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Kings17c2,386$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.854838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Kings16c2,382$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.5224634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c8…ff84backed Kings2c2,373$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.13125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-36.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8fb6…e09cbacked Kings16c2,300$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d3…7640backed Kings1c2,286$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings18c2,222$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Lakers80c2,120$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42419149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Kings1c2,115$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x624c…0cc7backed Kings20c2,050$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4103737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe28…3c60backed Kings10c2,014$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.41020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-68.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings18c2,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8c2…39edbacked Lakers54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92010635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2909…ba8bbacked Kings21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Kings12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5219…9a2dbacked Kings13c2,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2707334.2%25 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Kings17c1,959$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6123348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.