NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc578742c62769be1ad1e619ee447238285984b7c95a20d00d9c37875b8d448c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 136,932$65,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,169.93 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 52c | 120,000$62,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,400 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 8,278$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 52c | 6,823$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.07 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 51c | 1,860$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.6 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,166$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 982.83$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.07 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 51c | 812.04$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.32 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 757.4$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 635$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Under | 49c | 514.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.64 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 28c | 394.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.69 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…4babbacked Over | 51c | 239.83$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 71c | 208.49$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.44 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Over | 51c | 201.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 197.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 131.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Over | 51c | 111.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…3b9cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Over | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 50c | 71.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 76c | 65.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Over | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 42.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 42c | 41.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a81…b783backed Over | 51c | 39.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Over | 51c | 29.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Under | 50c | 25.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Kings vs. LakersLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.