NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c3ef48fb50355a63163fa379e2e547537ecb3c164ca4b0bf7513549f250f6ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 41c | 2,870$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 57c | 2,516$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Lakers | 61c | 1,456$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.74 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 57c | 1,353$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Kings | 43c | 1,256$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.75 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0658…a776backed Kings | 41c | 970$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0cc5backed Lakers | 61c | 903.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kings | 43c | 900.97$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.41 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Kings | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Lakers | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 78c | 580.4$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Kings | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…0355backed Lakers | 59c | 332$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d45…a628backed Lakers | 59c | 320$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d3…b3e4backed Lakers | 59c | 318$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Lakers | 59c | 287.77$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Lakers | 57c | 219.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 57c | 219.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 56c | 219.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Kings | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 57c | 115$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Kings | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Lakers | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Lakers | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Lakers | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Lakers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Lakers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Lakers | 57c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lakers | 61c | 65.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Lakers | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Kings | 41c | 51.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Kings | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Kings | 40c | 49.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Kings | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Lakers | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Lakers | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Lakers | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…9dcebacked Kings | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Lakers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Lakers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 50c | 33.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers | 61c | 33.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lakers | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Kings | 43c | 26.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lakers | 57c | 24.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Lakers | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Lakers | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Lakers | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Kings vs. LakersLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.