TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under51c21,055$10,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,296.342,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over49c11,808$5,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,78617344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over49c6,076$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.4820352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c5,875$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.579,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over49c3,845$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.2329652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea27…19c6backed Over52c3,280$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.844057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c1,917$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.172,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c1,482$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.764,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under48c1,247$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.648347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c1,225$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.772,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over49c1,032$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.7423850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c1,000$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.7784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c923.99$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.751,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c612$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over53c502.94$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.672,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under47c500$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2661,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7830452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c414.46$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.862,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c370.79$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15072647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c298.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.864,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under56c285$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.131,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Over49c279.59$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1379348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under47c259.4$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Under50c239.69$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3917331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over51c220.03$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2250347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c200.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.873,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9847542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4801…295fbacked Under48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf244…d2adbacked Over50c197.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+79.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over33c193.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7312644.4%56 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c184$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under49c167.76$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over32c155.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0763745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under45c144.16$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.583,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.623250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6633442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c114$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.281,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Over58c113.1$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0511761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over54c112.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7523153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d79…7181backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under51c99.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9952242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under54c93.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5727144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over48c92.07$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1933150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over57c91.66$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0931144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.773445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over49c86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under47c83.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.171,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over50c82.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.191,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over54c79.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Over49c79.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.017346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over53c76.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.292,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c75.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.692,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over41c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.41,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…18cabacked Under52c58.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.12850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8f…d7e3backed Under52c57.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.351631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over57c52.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012245.9%56 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under73c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c50.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.12,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under45c48.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.888845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1725…7405backed Over54c46.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.073345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c43.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.472,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b9…cba7backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2227359%161 W · 112 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Under53c38.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.096953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Over52c37.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.783655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7716…b10bbacked Under53c36.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef69…cdbdbacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x254f…2fb8backed Over56c27.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159954.5%54 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe8…e59ebacked Over49c25.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf69b…617fbacked Over55c25.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.94852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74e…90b6backed Over56c24.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68248.8%40 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Under51c22.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.235549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7028…8512backed Over56c22.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Over52c22.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6712654%68 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under50c22.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1893849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9105…1ae2backed Over56c21.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.36349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…a2aabacked Over56c21.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35048%24 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x709c…7347backed Over56c21.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9b…ae51backed Over56c21.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.15952.5%31 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…0f55backed Over56c21.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.945450%27 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82be…627bbacked Over56c21.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.95050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…87dabacked Over56c20.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699a…38febacked Over56c20.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over51c19.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.181,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.