TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Lakers47c18,629$8,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,806.6920352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Kings52c6,473$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.9415855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kings52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Lakers48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Kings53c4,444$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.3221446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kings52c4,093$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.611,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers47c3,873$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings52c3,857$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.881,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Lakers48c3,798$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.9216254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Kings53c3,743$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.575347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Kings55c3,669$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafa5…a7a3backed Lakers48c2,271$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0394…20e9backed Kings51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd499…c6b7backed Lakers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7d…9e7abacked Kings53c1,487$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.53033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers47c1,244$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.094,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Kings53c1,216$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.828644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Kings51c1,188$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.642138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Lakers47c1,022$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.412,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Kings52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers63c934.9$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings53c689$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Kings51c647.06$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd8…7867backed Lakers49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+61.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Kings53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Kings55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Lakers46c544$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.762556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Kings54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7191050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0175…24f8backed Lakers49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Kings54c464.6$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.790957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x964c…0a17backed Kings51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Lakers47c399.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21210244.1%45 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Kings54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Kings54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers46c330.01$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.933,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Kings34c304.76$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520150.7%102 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Kings8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2427435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Kings53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15961747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Lakers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Kings52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Kings51c225.74$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11649852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings31c215.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.663,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Kings52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Kings53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Kings55c184.12$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1621164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Kings6c174.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.448512.9%11 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Lakers48c160.32$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.651,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Kings52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ce…14b4backed Kings52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012157%69 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Kings55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5537850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Kings50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Lakers48c96.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.162848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Kings52c96.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.111060%66 W · 44 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Kings54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024452.5%128 W · 116 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Kings52c88.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4650954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Lakers48c84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.682,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers48c84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.683,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Kings54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.270153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Kings52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.617447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Lakers47c77.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.021,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Lakers46c66.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1193849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3d…73e7backed Lakers48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc097…720cbacked Kings55c58.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7410135.6%36 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Lakers48c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.162,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Kings54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb27…18d2backed Kings50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252250%11 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Kings52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610758.9%63 W · 44 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52dd…95ccbacked Lakers48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Kings54c40.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.699764.9%63 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings53c39.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.872,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Lakers47c39.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f66…6d2dbacked Kings52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6931…89cabacked Kings54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010248%49 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Kings53c33.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1828856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f20…eaf6backed Kings41c31.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Lakers47c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.913953.2%74 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…6c7ebacked Kings53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Kings52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Kings52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.487950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.