NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x114534b09adf133feae6fc7b13137273a174eee03d7965cd371273c5ee46d385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 47c | 10,087$4,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785.55 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…19c6backed Over | 51c | 9,825$5,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,052.97 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 8,934$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.01 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 46c | 2,489$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.84 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 2,376$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 52c | 1,875$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.54 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,866$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.74 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…be15backed Under | 54c | 1,476$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.93 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Under | 47c | 1,392$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.65 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 1,017$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 50c | 789.73$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.87 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 704$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 47c | 585$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.05 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 414$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Under | 53c | 333$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 294.92$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 280.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 53c | 260$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 205.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 179.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 54c | 175.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 171.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 158.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Under | 53c | 106.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 80.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 80.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 73.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 51c | 71.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 65.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 53c | 50.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 58c | 50.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 49.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Under | 54c | 46.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 53c | 42.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…aed0backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe191…97cabacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Under | 54c | 35.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 30.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…1263backed Over | 52c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 54c | 20.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Kings vs. LakersLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.