TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7a9…be15

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2532%8 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$199.6
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$399.2
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+314%+$186.88
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$298.19
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$447.24
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$859.28
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$104.93
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Kings vs. Suns: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$891.97
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+148.9%+$893.48
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$203.78
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$231.12
Suns vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,202.56
Timberwolves vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$247
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$678.93
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$993.06
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$542.43
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$255.03
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+170.3%+$319.46
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+171.4%+$2,339.35
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$88.99
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+62.5%+$125.09
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$587.51
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,402Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+93.4%+$1,308.75
Bears vs. 49ers: 1H Moneylinebacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$203.62
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,017.39
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$377.19
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$194.06
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+48.1%+$336.06
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.2%+$727.71
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$299.55
Texans vs. Chargers: 1H Moneylinebacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$199.6
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$307.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vermont Catamounts vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.