NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42331cf82607f8031f55aa162824a9994bbbd5d10ad7715f9a5c8b0812d7732d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,083,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,094,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,083,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 726 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic | 38c | 90,000$34,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,190.93 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Magic | 6c | 43,000$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.99 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 68c | 35,517$24,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,151.67 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 0c | 32,010$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 68c | 31,324$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,300.01 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 63c | 30,614$19,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,414.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Hornets | 31c | 26,916$8,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,688.88 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Hornets | 59c | 23,787$13,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,797.68 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Hornets | 60c | 22,128$13,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,787.37 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 33c | 21,294$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.72 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 63c | 20,676$13,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,668.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 78c | 20,460$16,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.72 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hornets | 32c | 20,395$6,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,868.51 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Hornets | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 41c | 19,987$8,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,098.14 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 30c | 18,080$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,378.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Hornets | 63c | 16,057$10,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952.53 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Magic | 69c | 14,547$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets | 70c | 13,377$9,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.09 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 31c | 13,045$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,984.1 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 51c | 12,869$6,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,544.67 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Hornets | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,159.99 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 33c | 11,099$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.32 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…f6c8backed Hornets | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Magic | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.85 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Magic | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.74 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Hornets | 32c | 9,500$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Magic | 41c | 9,187$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.56 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 1c | 8,867$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 31c | 8,768$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.68 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 53c | 8,523$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Magic | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,359.85 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ba…1ecabacked Magic | 68c | 7,629$5,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Hornets | 64c | 7,498$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.04 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 31c | 6,737$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Hornets | 31c | 6,452$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.61 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Hornets | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.98 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hornets | 31c | 6,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.9 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Magic | 35c | 5,823$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.16 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 32c | 5,461$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.23 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Magic | 31c | 5,256$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Hornets | 60c | 5,200$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x715a…0c80backed Magic | 69c | 5,195$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets | 67c | 5,052$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.31 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Magic | 14c | 5,009$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.6 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Hornets | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Hornets | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…acc8backed Magic | 69c | 4,930$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 1c | 4,850$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Magic | 41c | 4,850$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.5 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Hornets | 31c | 4,211$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.79 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 15c | 4,209$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.83 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 41c | 4,096$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.36 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Hornets | 31c | 4,029$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.64 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Hornets | 30c | 3,917$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.16 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 69c | 3,431$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.96 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Magic | 69c | 3,333$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Hornets | 30c | 3,300$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…1fefbacked Hornets | 74c | 3,211$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Magic | 30c | 3,167$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 32c | 3,100$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.39 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Magic | 20c | 3,059$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.24 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f821backed Hornets | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Magic | 2c | 3,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Magic | 0c | 3,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Magic | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Magic | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Hornets | 60c | 2,984$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.99 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Magic | 41c | 2,805$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hornets | 30c | 2,767$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.92 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Magic | 39c | 2,700$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets | 53c | 2,691$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.39 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Magic | 71c | 2,577$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.67 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…95b8backed Magic | 46c | 2,404$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Hornets | 65c | 2,369$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.97 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Hornets | 33c | 2,268$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.68 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Hornets | 31c | 2,109$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.37 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…7da2backed Magic | 69c | 2,100$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Magic | 69c | 2,038$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.83 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Magic | 67c | 2,021$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.36 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magic | 36c | 2,016$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.39 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Hornets | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.97 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 34c | 1,993$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.89 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Magic | 25c | 1,976$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Magic | 36c | 1,886$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.8 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Hornets | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.18 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 39c | 1,604$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.7 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017f…52e3backed Hornets | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 57c | 1,561$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.86 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Magic | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Magic | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Magic | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…be15backed Magic | 41c | 1,323$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.43 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Magic | 70c | 1,320$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Magic | 36c | 1,305$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Hornets | 32c | 1,300$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Magic | 31c | 1,283$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.57 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Magic | 70c | 1,265$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.42 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.