NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e065ebfcf7e50c0d4c882f58e28bc950270129dd4398812e6cbfdfe4df1ee56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Magic, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $451,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $452,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 50c | 419,949$210,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210,074.84 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 50c | 219,327$109,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,663.51 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Hornets | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hornets | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 50c | 20,748$10,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,374.18 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hornets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 50c | 9,973$4,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.51 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Hornets | 50c | 8,398$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Hornets | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.97 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets | 49c | 3,000$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.95 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 50c | 2,485$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…a13fbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 51c | 1,861$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Magic | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.02 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 45c | 1,147$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Magic | 50c | 1,019$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Magic | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Hornets | 49c | 856.49$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.81 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hornets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Magic | 49c | 742.48$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.02 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 50c | 645$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Magic | 51c | 607.53$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.84 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Magic | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Magic | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Magic | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Magic | 51c | 564.71$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Magic | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Magic | 51c | 434.87$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Hornets | 50c | 400.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.61 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Magic | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Magic | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Hornets | 49c | 319.59$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Magic | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Hornets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Magic | 51c | 294.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Magic | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Magic | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Hornets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Magic | 52c | 195.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Hornets | 52c | 193.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Magic | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 51c | 154.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Magic | 38c | 145$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Magic | 51c | 141.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Hornets | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets | 49c | 119.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hornets | 49c | 112.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 52c | 105.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Magic | 51c | 103.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Hornets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Magic | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Magic | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Magic | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…6a7ebacked Magic | 51c | 85.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…c801backed Magic | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Hornets | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Magic | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9f…082bbacked Magic | 51c | 59.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Hornets | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Hornets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Magic | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Hornets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Magic | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…2acdbacked Magic | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f3a9backed Magic | 51c | 38.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…8c31backed Magic | 51c | 36.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Hornets | 49c | 31.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 52c | 30.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…35cbbacked Magic | 51c | 30.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Magic | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Magic | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets | 49c | 29.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Hornets | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Magic | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 50c | 22.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Magic | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Hornets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed Hornets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Hornets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Magic | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Magic | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Magic | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. MagicHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.