TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e56…35cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST3557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.5
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+65.3%+$10.26
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.76
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.44
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$59.84
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.5
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.21
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.6
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+168.9%+$26.89
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.47
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.7%+$13.95
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.2%+$9.62
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.32
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.28
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+113.3%+$46.6
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$21.62
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$32.89
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41.18
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.91
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$15.2
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Spread: Packers (-4.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Spread: Lions (-5.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$134.19
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$47.82
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+108.3%+$17.27
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$83.85
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+204.2%+$102.12
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$82.52
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35.66
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+203%+$158.67
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$78.95
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26.98
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$33.01
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28.69
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.