TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Hornets, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,025,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,201,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,025,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 986 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x906f…88b4backed Clippers64c101,124$64,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,404.6922453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Clippers69c84,107$58,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,073.251675%12 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Clippers63c77,953$49,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,750.451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers66c63,453$41,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,875.645,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Hornets37c60,692$22,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,154.6812147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets34c60,470$20,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,424.0176746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers64c50,702$32,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,275.062,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hornets37c45,458$16,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,819.471,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Clippers64c35,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.9919751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Hornets35c34,188$11,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,900.5727865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Hornets36c30,000$10,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,724.2314244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets37c28,563$10,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,467.832,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Hornets37c26,889$9,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,94040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Hornets33c23,767$7,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,859.5961939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Clippers67c21,389$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,988.8710255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers64c20,603$13,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,417.082,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ec…8b88backed Hornets25c20,474$5,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,147.96053.3%32 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Clippers64c20,005$12,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,201.7820551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Hornets21c20,000$4,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,288.976540%26 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Hornets36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20015841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Clippers73c19,361$14,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,145.1347856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Hornets7c18,979$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.7927917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac1…e989backed Hornets15c18,392$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+90.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x282c…0313backed Clippers66c16,494$10,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,609.53850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets26c16,467$4,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,273.44,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Hornets34c16,118$5,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,480.2717646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers63c15,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Hornets36c15,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…e0e1backed Hornets35c14,418$5,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,046.26944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets4c14,156$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.2559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Hornets36c13,565$4,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,883.429351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers64c13,552$8,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,940.653,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hornets21c13,266$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.8183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…88e1backed Hornets6c13,179$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.375131.4%16 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets36c13,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.9931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Clippers62c12,867$8,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,843.1136741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked Hornets36c12,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3201353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers64c11,929$7,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,275.53,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Clippers72c11,872$8,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.151,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Clippers64c11,600$7,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,17648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Clippers64c11,000$7,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.986245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Clippers65c10,005$6,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Clippers62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Hornets3c9,487$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305024%12 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Clippers64c9,404$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.533884.2%32 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+59.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Clippers64c8,500$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets36c8,028$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.244,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets0c7,955$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.178820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Hornets13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Clippers67c7,512$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.1822458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed Hornets36c6,922$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.923565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hornets37c6,623$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.6171547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Hornets37c6,601$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.3414945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Clippers62c6,600$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.9414055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Clippers58c6,518$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.181,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Hornets19c6,161$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.215514.8%23 W · 132 L-28.1wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-65.1%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets37c6,100$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Hornets33c6,033$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.9924831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Clippers64c6,000$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.9937944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers62c5,973$3,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.962,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Clippers59c5,919$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.7718747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Clippers69c5,812$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.1512257.4%70 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Clippers64c5,640$3,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.462351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Clippers59c5,619$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.7624151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Hornets1c5,600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Hornets50c5,520$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.166248.4%30 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hornets34c5,479$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.062,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9af…8292backed Hornets35c5,306$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.11714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Hornets11c5,049$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53528616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Clippers63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8509758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Clippers63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Hornets36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9410035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets37c4,921$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.2785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Hornets27c4,700$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.9947535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8049…1e6cbacked Hornets27c4,665$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2651631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Hornets44c4,593$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007758.4%45 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers63c4,571$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hornets36c4,265$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.52,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0540…98ebbacked Hornets18c4,104$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.731723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-62.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Hornets34c4,067$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.9827144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Hornets24c4,037$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.544337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Hornets44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Clippers63c4,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9720048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Clippers63c3,789$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.9337557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Hornets35c3,775$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.7742640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Hornets36c3,738$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.5126544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Clippers62c3,559$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.116550.3%83 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Hornets29c3,437$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1a…cee8backed Hornets15c3,374$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.525324.5%13 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets36c3,046$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.71,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Hornets36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08031538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Clippers65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05012843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hornets38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1658…d875backed Hornets17c3,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Clippers62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Clippers65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9817250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Hornets36c2,811$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.0839958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Clippers63c2,800$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.9835251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Hornets37c2,726$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017723.7%42 W · 135 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Hornets39c2,590$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.