NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc2626fa5170371116f3ebdcc215779b89c8705321c94e4570bcfa16edaaa3cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 16,554$8,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,608.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 47c | 14,415$6,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,639.95 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 8,556$4,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.45 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Under | 52c | 6,577$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.58 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…8441backed Under | 51c | 5,400$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 5,394$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.4 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 50c | 4,988$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.25 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…e774backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…f4c8backed Over | 49c | 2,650$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 2,070$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.1 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 1,344$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.21 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,321$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 54c | 1,017$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Over | 47c | 995.51$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.39 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 946$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 46c | 648.92$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.53 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 54c | 288$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 282.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…0fbdbacked Under | 75c | 264.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -5.0wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Under | 53c | 261.11$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 48c | 234$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…0b12backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…bbc0backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 174.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Under | 12c | 144.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…58bebacked Over | 49c | 124.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 17c | 110.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 12c | 108.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966e…b2febacked Over | 49c | 101.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Over | 48c | 91.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 17c | 90.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 47c | 76.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…b11ebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 37.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 53c | 34.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 53c | 28.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 50c | 26.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.