TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$345,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$347,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c16…09cbbacked Hornets48c80,847$38,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,806.5713248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers52c75,994$39,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,514.622,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Hornets47c70,775$33,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,264.4187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers51c24,218$12,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,766.581,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Clippers52c20,769$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,969.232568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Clippers52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Clippers52c19,000$9,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,12010459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets50c18,516$9,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,182.5876746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers51c15,299$7,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,496.6766853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Hornets47c11,000$5,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,18046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers52c10,636$5,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,114.722,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Hornets49c10,549$5,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,169.1642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers52c10,420$5,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,025.681,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Hornets49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Clippers53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Hornets52c9,220$4,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,803.9917331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers53c9,000$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2302,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers52c8,916$4,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets49c8,718$4,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,271.6437557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets49c8,200$4,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,029.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ed…c6bebacked Hornets49c5,600$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Clippers52c4,600$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c8…933fbacked Hornets49c4,576$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2421145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets48c4,146$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.243,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Clippers50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Hornets50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb603…754bbacked Clippers52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Clippers52c3,828$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.1371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Hornets48c3,675$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76450653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers50c3,465$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.412,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Clippers52c3,340$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.1964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers53c3,088$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.524,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Clippers52c3,050$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,46441553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Clippers52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers52c2,983$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.242,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers45c2,897$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.333,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Clippers53c2,800$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31611653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets48c2,730$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Clippers52c2,500$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Hornets51c2,109$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.6614254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Hornets51c2,076$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.386543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdc…2454backed Hornets50c2,049$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.492365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4cb…4d21backed Clippers50c2,049$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.492365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers53c2,025$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.482,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hornets50c2,010$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.112,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Clippers44c2,009$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.252147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Hornets49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9804761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Hornets49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Hornets57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9911242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers52c1,997$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.472,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers49c1,746$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.464,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Clippers52c1,681$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.0492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Clippers53c1,556$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.321,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets48c1,345$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.781,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Clippers55c1,335$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.5540451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.742,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets46c1,177$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.576,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Hornets48c1,168$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.934654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers47c1,143$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.63,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets45c1,015$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.745,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Hornets47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47049938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Hornets50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035447.7%169 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hornets47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3761,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Hornets47c750$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.510244.1%45 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Clippers68c731.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.245570.9%39 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Clippers51c660$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.443052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Clippers48c621$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32112050%60 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Clippers52c592.2$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3926034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Clippers55c546.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0248957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Hornets49c531.96$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9923250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hornets48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf456…632cbacked Hornets48c489.96$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Clippers52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7750954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53c0…3f90backed Hornets57c461.4$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2632445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Clippers51c450.28$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6458951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e96…e9f8backed Hornets50c438.18$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Hornets49c408.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0114647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Hornets49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19640243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Clippers53c379.25$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2516740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Clippers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6446258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Hornets44c359.26$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Hornets49c307$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4340648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Hornets44c305$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.924846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Clippers51c300$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14816053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Hornets48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14434447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad44…db14backed Hornets51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Clippers50c281.72$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8664139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hornets10c274$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.41,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Clippers52c259.62$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6222953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Hornets47c233.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Clippers52c207.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.691936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Hornets50c205$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.410255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Hornets49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Hornets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd3…4285backed Clippers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002540%10 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x088d…c4e7backed Clippers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+72.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc8…bd8abacked Hornets55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Clippers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9840346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd0…4516backed Clippers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.