NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10e17da55bbcfdaedc626c66a4e9d089962f153159909edf091cb3d31118c836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 1,274$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Under | 74c | 954.15$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 56c | 851$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.44 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 37c | 425.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 36c | 334.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 35c | 293.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 61c | 277.69$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 63c | 157.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 64c | 155.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 51c | 148.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Under | 48c | 134.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 63c | 61.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 64c | 61.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 37c | 56.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 36c | 52.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Over | 43c | 52.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…3b97backed Under | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Under | 49c | 20.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…b99abacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.