NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c5f268073b416ae8952a7591b77745e34a6a13c15c131052574705c8393ad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 30,792$15,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,087.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Over | 51c | 16,198$8,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,937.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 51c | 13,452$6,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591.66 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 6,374$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 4,475$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Over | 54c | 3,713$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.79 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 51c | 3,300$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,214$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 2,654$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 48c | 2,612$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.61 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Under | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…a47cbacked Over | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.56 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 1,304$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.01 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 1,115$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.83 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Over | 52c | 1,096$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.86 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 51c | 1,016$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.69 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Over | 50c | 808.74$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.37 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Over | 52c | 589.12$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.78 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 50c | 367.33$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.05 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Under | 64c | 335.71$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 50c | 173$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e5…f917backed Over | 53c | 155.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Under | 56c | 135.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 46c | 86.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 317 | 45.4%144 W · 173 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 47c | 82.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed Under | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…243dbacked Under | 55c | 59.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 54c | 53.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 50c | 51.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 48c | 45.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Under | 47c | 42.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Over | 52c | 23.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 54c | 18.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Under | 68c | 18.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.