TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$306,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers49c203,361$98,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,577.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets51c155,733$79,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,4241,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Hornets53c39,063$20,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,537.9620744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers47c16,454$7,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,720.8666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Clippers48c14,550$6,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,56647751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers46c9,895$4,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,375.853,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Hornets53c8,263$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,379.5236351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets53c7,728$4,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,061.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets47c6,928$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.494,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Hornets72c6,848$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.6516848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Hornets53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00015855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers49c4,194$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1514,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers45c4,125$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.323,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers49c3,950$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.521,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers42c3,645$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets55c3,637$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers48c3,369$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.52,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Hornets63c3,244$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.2838046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaba0…52cabacked Clippers46c3,147$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.38887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+69.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets53c2,978$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.342,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Clippers49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2751,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Hornets52c2,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14417554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Hornets51c2,003$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.626543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Hornets53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06022845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Hornets47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94035447.7%169 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd56d…bd7dbacked Hornets51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Hornets56c1,684$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.8347651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Clippers49c1,500$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7681,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets53c1,436$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.31,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Clippers28c1,423$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.6852052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hornets53c1,415$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Clippers51c1,406$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.8825248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets52c1,315$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Hornets53c1,230$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.8642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets53c1,149$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.352,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets49c1,040$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Clippers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hornets52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9951651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Hornets53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers34c935.15$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.23,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked Clippers42c886$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.67749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Hornets52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers48c729$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Hornets53c716.98$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38032151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Hornets52c673.99$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.376144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers28c661.57$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.333,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Hornets51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Hornets53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Clippers36c562$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.9426034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Hornets56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Hornets51c511.83$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Hornets51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0696…bfb7backed Hornets54c452$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hornets52c439.31$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.442,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb248…3652backed Hornets51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Hornets51c387.07$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.419557.9%55 W · 40 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers46c324.88$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Clippers48c311.2$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.31,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Hornets51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15361747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…638abacked Hornets55c282.83$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.272347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Hornets52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Clippers49c233$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8343052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Clippers48c232$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.642,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers35c215.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.733,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9be2…5fddbacked Hornets54c209$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Hornets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa114…55b7backed Hornets53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Hornets54c199.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9936854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Clippers48c195.06$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4315649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Hornets52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hornets53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Hornets54c185$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.97450%37 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Hornets53c183$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.051,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x446c…1764backed Hornets54c181$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Hornets44c164$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1623630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a8a…637ebacked Hornets54c162$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…d05bbacked Hornets54c157$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Hornets52c154.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3916658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Hornets51c153.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1219147.1%90 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Clippers48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7837750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers49c148$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.481,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88cf…469fbacked Hornets70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Hornets51c139.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7119951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers47c138$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.653,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e73…464fbacked Hornets53c135.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.511957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69f…9846backed Hornets54c133$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…b49bbacked Hornets54c131$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Clippers47c126.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3317345.1%78 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc7…97f7backed Hornets54c125$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Hornets53c113.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…6e65backed Hornets54c111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8162…426abacked Hornets54c109$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…b1f0backed Hornets54c105$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc271…13efbacked Hornets54c104$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6300…b5e1backed Hornets54c104$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Clippers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Hornets51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5174547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Hornets62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6212947.3%61 W · 68 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66b5…b26dbacked Hornets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.