TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c151,574$74,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,821.622,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over51c101,243$51,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,609.0719754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over50c23,072$11,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,53629351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c12,792$6,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,313.932,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c8,867$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,387.122,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.0476746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c4,745$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c2,930$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c1,636$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.31,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over45c1,449$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.673,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under52c1,129$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.2727051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over48c1,047$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4477348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c852.07$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.162,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Over12c806.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.0822035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under55c693.39$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.393,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over50c663.1$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5523250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Over49c653.06$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0632151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c581$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over57c433.35$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9263745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under68c361$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.271,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14472647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c264.87$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under51c242.91$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.886650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under51c233.16$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.911,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under70c232$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.122,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0864…df33backed Over6c210$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+127.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9633650.6%170 W · 166 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over14c182.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c149.16$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1660346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc97…7206backed Over51c140.82$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…638abacked Over50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over51c139.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5522347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under20c117.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.831,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c43…0390backed Over48c103.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under18c102.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0988845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4974547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5037357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…f34ebacked Under49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.996636.4%24 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c98.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.141,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47cd…1f8bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.048958.4%52 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eca…9b1bbacked Over51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c97.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.581,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6331745.4%144 W · 173 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c80.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.782,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aab…d612backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.431758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd827…7e4bbacked Over47c69.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.081450%7 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+107.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under38c69.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2359141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under53c69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5752052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92c3…65c5backed Under24c63.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2248740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under51c60.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7222055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over71c56.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.045942.4%25 W · 34 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over51c56.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over49c53.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6966143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over52c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1871245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c52.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.945,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2556454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over50c46.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1916036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Under48c44.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.485246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under51c43.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1418339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under49c41.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.191,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under51c39.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over58c38.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4620241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cab…7489backed Over51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.624156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under77c37.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.232,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Under48c34.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6122247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0eb…5cc6backed Under50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56540%26 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f4e…f27cbacked Under50c31.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Over49c30.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.588556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.618649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…82fcbacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked Over53c29.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.96645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under47c28.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2831144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7846…7626backed Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1220033%66 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1249351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over46c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9623348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c22.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.242,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf400…1620backed Under57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42343.5%10 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.