TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets46c18,806$8,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,593.73,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks54c17,084$9,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,858.7366853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf7…a0bdbacked Nets48c5,586$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc5…80ebbacked Nets48c5,533$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb596…8717backed Nets48c5,448$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd058…e844backed Nets48c5,375$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3451…40f5backed Nets48c5,373$2,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7928…8af4backed Nets48c5,362$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x312c…593fbacked Nets48c5,315$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc2…3723backed Nets48c5,206$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd2…0fbebacked Nets48c5,170$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcf…e0c9backed Nets48c5,106$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc8…3dccbacked Nets48c5,105$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f5…e942backed Nets48c5,076$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Nets44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3205345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c88…4896backed Nets48c2,588$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e49…b3afbacked Knicks52c2,588$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e26…954bbacked Nets48c2,563$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe456…8ef3backed Knicks52c2,551$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cb…f5ebbacked Nets48c2,542$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0638…d5a2backed Nets48c2,536$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d1…95d6backed Knicks52c2,534$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…9421backed Knicks52c2,533$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb8…2ca2backed Knicks52c2,523$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1f…f6a8backed Nets48c2,512$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks56c2,237$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.459,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks58c2,219$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e8b…a7f6backed Knicks52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc998…35efbacked Knicks52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+67.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d54…0d54backed Knicks52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6e…d961backed Knicks52c1,998$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d04…012dbacked Knicks52c1,990$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe525…0ae4backed Knicks52c1,975$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71ba…75d1backed Knicks52c1,963$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7549…15d0backed Knicks52c1,958$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403f…e328backed Knicks52c1,936$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312c…3824backed Knicks52c1,913$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff66…5ab2backed Knicks52c1,905$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbbb…efb7backed Knicks52c1,882$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…eaf1backed Knicks52c1,865$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5459…5019backed Knicks52c1,840$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x591f…0f80backed Knicks52c1,819$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f75…a617backed Knicks52c1,812$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa736…9297backed Knicks52c1,803$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ce…d22ebacked Knicks52c1,786$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6cc…3e84backed Knicks52c1,760$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…79c9backed Knicks52c1,738$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c9…92a6backed Knicks52c1,724$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6382…e507backed Knicks52c1,721$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf279…54dabacked Knicks52c1,700$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ef…75b9backed Knicks52c1,669$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9094…ad9fbacked Knicks52c1,658$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6501…8175backed Knicks52c1,650$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…a929backed Knicks52c1,620$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6c…6851backed Knicks52c1,614$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f53…387ebacked Knicks52c1,587$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x615f…c920backed Knicks52c1,576$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.484100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd71d…acf7backed Knicks52c1,568$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc090…7c6bbacked Knicks52c1,557$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…1fe5backed Knicks52c1,532$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1955…3209backed Knicks52c1,519$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee5d…ed2ebacked Knicks52c1,515$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8998…b25dbacked Knicks52c1,502$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Knicks56c733.83$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.7218235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Knicks56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Nets45c435.9$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1229344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Nets42c428.14$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets43c396.9$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.672,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Nets44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Knicks54c300.2$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.761747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Nets46c288.06$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nets44c225.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Knicks55c183.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3325056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Knicks56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5761056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Nets51c168.43$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.828251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Knicks55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4533246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Nets43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436561.5%40 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks65c86.03$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a1…3b93backed Knicks55c85.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.311883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+62.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Knicks59c55.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.931,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Nets38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Nets38c49.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9514727.2%40 W · 107 L-21.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Knicks55c49.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2145651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6760…3ad4backed Nets43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205626.8%15 W · 41 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-42%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Knicks58c44.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8334849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Knicks56c39.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1649358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed Nets43c25.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Knicks55c21.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…35cbbacked Nets62c17.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.593557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.