NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb88dff1d394a610099be5deb8f6a4b0c48b15b56f68bd9011be9c55f71f13809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 50c | 23,661$11,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,830.63 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…e842backed Over | 50c | 7,840$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 6,042$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 52c | 4,600$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 48c | 1,499$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.55 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 1,053$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,050$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 598.73$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.31 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Under | 56c | 448.43$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.56 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Over | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Over | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 165$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 80.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 40.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…5c73backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Over | 55c | 22.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 22.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 49c | 21.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Over | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5this page
- Nets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.