NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10705bd36d4faaf9d9400538731db0eb16b7c2932df59a3548fad2682cc73ddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 28,557$14,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,277.47 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 50c | 19,254$9,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,626.8 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 9,081$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 2,520$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.07 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 50c | 2,442$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.9 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 50c | 2,196$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,973$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.55 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 1,763$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.71 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 50c | 1,716$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 54c | 1,487$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.59 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 1,443$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.9 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 914.15$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.93 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 51c | 877.39$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.33 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 616.08$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.6 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 51c | 570$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 49c | 499.91$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.95 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Under | 50c | 268$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 50c | 228.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over | 35c | 199.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 51c | 176.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 51c | 157.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Over | 51c | 145.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 144.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 142$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 49c | 137.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 51c | 129.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 50c | 99.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…d716backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…fb30backed Over | 52c | 95.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 51c | 92.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Over | 51c | 88.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 51c | 85.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 81.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 76.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 67c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 50c | 62.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…68f6backed Over | 51c | 56.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Over | 52c | 54.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 53c | 52.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 52.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 51c | 48.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 51c | 44.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Over | 51c | 41.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad48…4797backed Over | 51c | 41.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Over | 52c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf228…fbfabacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed Over | 51c | 28.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…2d47backed Over | 52c | 26.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 21.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…a479backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Under | 67c | 17.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5this page
- Nets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.