NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8fdace036be7960d9f62b4bfdf802606a6a7f1b9ddac13b1e17c9478b4583e

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,404 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under	56c	11,497$6,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,060.53	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	45c	4,086$1,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,842.34	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc715…5cd7backed Over	43c	2,596$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.28	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ca…8a35backed Over	43c	2,574$1,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,106.82	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65cc…909bbacked Under	57c	2,574$1,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,106.82	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a9…eae3backed Under	57c	2,543$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,093.49	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f4…1068backed Under	57c	2,536$1,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,090.48	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c09…992bbacked Over	43c	2,536$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090.48	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	38c	2,510$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.77	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5524…2e50backed Over	43c	2,470$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Over	44c	2,330$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-6.4wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	44c	2,253$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.57	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f28…6724backed Under	57c	2,123$1,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$912.89	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under	53c	1,879$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.07	220	35.5%78 W · 142 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over	42c	1,436$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.72	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x874e…9bcabacked Over	4c	1,364$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.58	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over	41c	1,294$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.35	182	35.7%65 W · 117 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under	56c	1,073$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.34	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	75c	753.18$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.97	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under	58c	708.65$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.55	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	25c	635.55$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.31	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	43c	482.69$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.56	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Over	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	28c	400$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	42c	368.67$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.66	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	60c	308$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.2	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	44c	300$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	44c	289.62$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.68	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	44c	254.5$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.98	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Over	9c	250$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under	62c	235.7$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.57	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	45c	199.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	26c	153.41$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.29	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Under	66c	151.47$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.47	142	55.6%79 W · 63 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	59c	150$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.5	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc535…6047backed Over	13c	117.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over	36c	92.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.35	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	62c	85$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.3	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under	53c	84.99$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.95	304	52.6%160 W · 144 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	72c	77.61$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.75	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over	44c	72.04$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.7	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45fb…1289backed Over	41c	66.63$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.32	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Under	64c	62.95$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.95	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	44c	59.96$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.29	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bef…3787backed Under	57c	52.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.56	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	39c	51.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Over	22c	51.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	45c	50.58$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.99	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	378	48.9%185 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	59c	47$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.27	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	59c	46.15$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.15	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	59c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under	64c	32.7$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	379	59.4%225 W · 154 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	70	40%28 W · 42 L	-8.0wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8023…332abacked Over	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a5…4dcebacked Under	60c	23.34$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under	69c	20.17$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.27	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under	59c	16.95$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.95	169	42.6%72 W · 97 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event