NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c59516679e6278890e7cbf785a9f270b4b2d4c172345c81740dde346f914860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.99 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…81aabacked Over | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 52c | 6,767$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.84 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 5,658$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.76 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 50c | 4,854$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.52 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 3,878$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.1 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 2,538$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…6f04backed Over | 47c | 1,608$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 46c | 1,175$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.23 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,073$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.3 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 887.47$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 757.85$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.17 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Over | 49c | 715$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 43c | 389.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 305$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 281.66$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 48c | 210.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Over | 51c | 196.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 171.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 171.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9249backed Over | 45c | 122.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 55c | 112.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…b098backed Under | 56c | 90.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 83.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 62c | 71.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Under | 56c | 57.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -10.0wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 45c | 33.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 51c | 30.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Under | 51c | 25.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 62c | 24.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…b413backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…bdd0backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5this page
- Nets vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.