TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Knicks50c39,185$19,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,592.7120055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf967…762dbacked Nets50c14,426$7,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,212.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nets47c10,588$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks53c9,016$4,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22e…6e6dbacked Nets50c8,486$4,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,242.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets47c7,190$3,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.383,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2e…05f0backed Nets50c5,940$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca9…79c9backed Knicks48c5,121$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ba…75d1backed Knicks49c4,922$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks54c4,800$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.542,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc090…7c6bbacked Knicks48c4,659$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x615f…c920backed Knicks49c4,612$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.124100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9094…ad9fbacked Knicks49c4,416$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc998…35efbacked Knicks49c4,412$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+67.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a6e…d961backed Nets52c4,225$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nets50c4,200$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…a929backed Nets51c4,028$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f75…a617backed Nets51c3,612$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5151…eaf1backed Nets52c3,425$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f55…4d05backed Knicks49c3,152$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1955…3209backed Nets51c2,953$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks51c2,906$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.841,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ad…556bbacked Nets51c2,902$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Knicks53c2,800$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31611653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d04…012dbacked Nets51c2,796$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks55c2,717$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe425…2eb0backed Nets51c2,652$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c8f…fd31backed Knicks49c2,574$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12a0…31a5backed Nets51c2,537$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.87450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fe…1bcdbacked Knicks49c2,534$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3afe…3932backed Nets51c2,532$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets45c2,488$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bce…d238backed Knicks49c2,363$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nets50c2,290$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.761,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x190a…6ae2backed Knicks48c2,076$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.461266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Nets52c2,076$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.461457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56d…bd7dbacked Knicks56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.718647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb596…8717backed Nets51c1,628$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Nets50c1,596$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79849246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks52c1,587$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nets49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nets47c1,332$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.831,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fc8…3dccbacked Nets52c1,268$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Nets47c1,170$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Nets47c1,043$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc2…3723backed Nets51c1,024$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Knicks50c1,004$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.7750954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Knicks51c999.97$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9849142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c9…92a6backed Nets51c945$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.95450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd2…0fbebacked Nets51c788$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Nets46c774.86$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.2618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nets50c676.2$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.12,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Knicks52c593.89$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Nets50c590$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2959742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Knicks51c589$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6140648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks76c587.39$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Knicks55c581.82$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8237930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Knicks52c491.37$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8614647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Nets48c471.96$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1368940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Nets48c457.35$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5311839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nets46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8998…b25dbacked Nets52c428$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x312c…593fbacked Nets52c421$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8b9…d1d9backed Knicks48c399.98$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.991752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets45c394.44$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.762,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Nets48c388.56$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5132051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Knicks55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6410251%52 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Nets49c326.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc5…80ebbacked Nets51c263$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Nets49c260$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.450241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Knicks55c249.98$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4985147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Nets51c242.66$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7616642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Knicks49c226.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5316030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Nets50c200.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3549249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af6…a1a1backed Nets51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-58.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7923…d78abacked Nets51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbbb…efb7backed Nets51c188$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Knicks54c181$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6719350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a00…0c93backed Knicks49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.064351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets45c148.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.873,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets47c142$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.745,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Nets45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Nets48c130$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.482440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Nets52c126.77$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9248451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312c…3824backed Nets51c121$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Knicks54c104.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.924643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Knicks53c100.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.211955.5%66 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Knicks52c100.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.051,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Nets45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b58…7061backed Knicks53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Nets51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Nets49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c10…4d5ebacked Knicks48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522770.4%19 W · 8 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+76.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbbc5…14bbbacked Nets52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a26…e195backed Nets45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc43d…8928backed Knicks52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+35.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Nets48c79.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Nets47c77.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.791,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks48c71.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Nets52c65.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.