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NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c33,095$17,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,401.381,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c10,980$5,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under55c10,862$5,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,88834654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c10,013$4,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,586.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c8,376$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.472,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c7,811$3,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,604.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ef…75b9backed Over50c5,526$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf279…54dabacked Over50c5,504$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312c…3824backed Over50c5,430$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,715333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7549…15d0backed Over50c5,358$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6cc…3e84backed Over50c5,333$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c9…92a6backed Over50c5,300$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ce…d22ebacked Over50c5,128$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbbb…efb7backed Over50c5,104$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8998…b25dbacked Over50c5,099$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under54c3,480$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcf…e0c9backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…a929backed Under50c1,974$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f75…a617backed Under50c1,971$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6e…d961backed Under50c1,943$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1955…3209backed Under50c1,932$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa736…9297backed Under50c1,927$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5151…eaf1backed Under50c1,896$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e8b…a7f6backed Under50c1,873$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb596…8717backed Under50c1,857$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9094…ad9fbacked Under50c1,849$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x236b…1fe5backed Under50c1,835$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc5…80ebbacked Under50c1,825$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6c…6851backed Under50c1,794$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8973100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc090…7c6bbacked Under50c1,782$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ba…75d1backed Under50c1,775$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f53…387ebacked Under50c1,749$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over45c1,712$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.7329344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x615f…c920backed Under50c1,706$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8534100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff66…5ab2backed Under50c1,691$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd2…0fbebacked Under50c1,684$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc8…3dccbacked Under50c1,679$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd058…e844backed Under50c1,637$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…35efbacked Under50c1,631$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+67.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x312c…593fbacked Under50c1,608$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc2…3723backed Under50c1,593$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d04…012dbacked Under50c1,541$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…79c9backed Under50c1,524$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3451…40f5backed Under50c1,506$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe630…5d81backed Over46c1,326$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.831225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c1,016$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47011137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Over42c999.98$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.998339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under54c909.73$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.4745348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under55c704.74$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over47c702.5$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.882,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c698.52$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.756,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under57c676.82$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6218235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under57c640.14$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2629748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c441$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8640146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c399$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.542,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Over52c389.15$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20113651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over46c268.65$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.586040%24 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c257$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over46c244$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.242,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c242.75$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.762,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f8…256ebacked Over51c231.37$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over7c222.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbea1…1408backed Over51c221.78$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over49c220$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.819350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over42c218$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over42c203.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over45c201.53$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6153043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over46c179$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3432346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c157.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.011,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6616549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c136.93$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.841,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over47c123.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.691,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over46c114.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6716036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Over46c109.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.515339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over45c72.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.459642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Under50c61.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9716547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255334%18 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under58c56.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over43c54.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6192750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Under56c43.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.315348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over45c43.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5611443%49 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebfe…bdd0backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over49c26.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed Over44c26.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.663724.3%9 W · 28 L-10.0wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under54c18.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5816942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.