NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72c438d5220c33f2badec3a2d3e0f413d6932f8c1c6a123f9f4190da0fc631db

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Knicks, Nets
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $807,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $809,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $807,628 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Knicks	52c	487,322$253,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234,195.34	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets	48c	362,608$174,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174,051.68	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Nets	50c	169,531$84,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84,250.94	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Knicks	51c	77,856$40,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,856.3	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Knicks	51c	50,000$25,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,500	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks	50c	25,000$12,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,500	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets	48c	21,105$10,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,130.4	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,800	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9723…77d8backed Knicks	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,799.99	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets	48c	19,539$9,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,467.05	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets	48c	18,033$8,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,706.89	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Knicks	50c	9,051$4,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,524.98	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Nets	49c	8,163$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Nets	49c	8,000$3,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,920	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks	50c	5,783$2,891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,891.37	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Nets	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Knicks	50c	4,192$2,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,095.89	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Nets	52c	4,019$2,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,089.63	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Knicks	50c	3,998$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,017.4	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Nets	49c	3,983$1,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,937.26	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Nets	50c	3,800$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Nets	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Nets	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Nets	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Nets	50c	2,348$1,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174	240	51.3%123 W · 117 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Nets	49c	2,230$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.5	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Nets	50c	1,999$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.5	211	42.7%90 W · 121 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nets	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Nets	49c	1,956$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.44	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Knicks	51c	1,717$875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.09	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets	32c	1,642$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.29	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Nets	49c	1,636$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.98	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Nets	43c	899$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.01	182	35.7%65 W · 117 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Nets	50c	601.02$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.51	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Nets	50c	548.08$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Nets	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.16per pick	60cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Nets	45c	390$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.5	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	-17.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Nets	55c	384.09$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.25	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Knicks	51c	343.14$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.14	561	54.5%306 W · 255 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Nets	49c	338.14$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.86	166	42.2%70 W · 96 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Nets	49c	334.96$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.52	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Nets	48c	299.8$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.9	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x236a…1a3ebacked Nets	49c	283.37$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.85	83	41%34 W · 49 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks	46c	261.1$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.99	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nets	49c	243.55$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Knicks	52c	241.6$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.97	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+8.2wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets	50c	223.29$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.1	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Nets	55c	202.39$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.32	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Nets	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Nets	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Nets	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Knicks	50c	196.41$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.8	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Knicks	45c	196.37$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	266	51.1%136 W · 130 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Knicks	49c	165.06$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.18	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nets	50c	160$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Nets	35c	149.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Nets	49c	122.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	362	47.5%172 W · 190 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Knicks	52c	106$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.88	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Nets	49c	101.73$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.85	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Nets	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	421	43.7%184 W · 237 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Nets	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…5685backed Nets	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	36.2%21 W · 37 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Knicks	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.8wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+39%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks	48c	98.22$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.07	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed Nets	53c	93.4$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets	50c	92$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af0…8473backed Nets	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Nets	40c	75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	358	44.1%158 W · 200 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Nets	48c	75$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	165	49.7%82 W · 83 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8490…ecfabacked Nets	49c	73.61$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.07	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks	48c	73.26$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.42	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nets	50c	70.68$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.22	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6760…3ad4backed Nets	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	-7.7wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-42%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Nets	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Nets	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	116	56%65 W · 51 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…fb30backed Knicks	52c	59.79$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.7	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Nets	54c	56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	712	45.8%326 W · 386 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb15d…d581backed Knicks	45c	55.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.56	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…a77bbacked Nets	49c	52.08$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Knicks	45c	52.04$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.62	177	50.8%90 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Nets	40c	42.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Nets	49c	42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	323	52.6%170 W · 153 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Knicks	49c	41.82$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.31	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef05…4d9fbacked Knicks	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Nets	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Nets	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Nets	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	84	50%42 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392c…bb64backed Nets	51c	39.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Nets	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	242	48.3%117 W · 125 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks	46c	37.04$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe760…aadcbacked Nets	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	152	48.7%74 W · 78 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Nets	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	278	46.8%130 W · 148 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…8b5bbacked Nets	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Knicks	52c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event