Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e521c254b70d3299cbf702ccd826a6b25717d18c10046d55442d599560919e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5462…eed6backed Yes | 51c | 16,750$8,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,154.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 79c | 11,667$9,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.6 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 41c | 9,251$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,434.95 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 38c | 7,823$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 42c | 6,042$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.7 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 56c | 5,393$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.19 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 39c | 4,780$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.43 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 49c | 4,515$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.49 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 46c | 3,732$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.92 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 36c | 3,317$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.02 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 50c | 3,296$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.57 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 41c | 3,000$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.23 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 55c | 2,790$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 49c | 2,693$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.99 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 45c | 2,650$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 56c | 2,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 36c | 2,490$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.49 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 36c | 2,379$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.2 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 50c | 1,995$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.67 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…8b87backed Yes | 44c | 1,828$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…ae42backed Yes | 56c | 1,787$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…44a9backed Yes | 54c | 1,597$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yes | 48c | 1,546$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.82 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 53c | 1,487$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.51 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 61c | 1,419$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 2c | 1,306$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…6f1abacked Yes | 39c | 1,162$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 9c | 1,110$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 39c | 1,101$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.03 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 15c | 1,090$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 51c | 1,060$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 59c | 995.13$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.48 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 947.7$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…ee03backed Yes | 34c | 917.45$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 60c | 840.43$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.57 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed No | 46c | 808$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…e63bbacked Yes | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked No | 46c | 789$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 62c | 750$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 62c | 750$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 38c | 698.94$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.09 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 45c | 673.91$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2c…2a5ebacked No | 57c | 669$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 54c | 634.51$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…75a1backed No | 46c | 617.54$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…7fe8backed No | 57c | 578.95$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7d31backed Yes | 43c | 568.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 58c | 552.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 32c | 538.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…9830backed No | 67c | 498.57$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 37c | 482.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…7a96backed No | 64c | 460.66$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 65c | 454.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…449cbacked Yes | 45c | 448.4$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 49c | 432.28$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.23 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…dc8bbacked Yes | 45c | 428.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 58c | 420.5$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.48 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 55c | 420$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.19 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed No | 59c | 400$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…b4bdbacked No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…374ebacked No | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa017…b7e6backed No | 46c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 34c | 364$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 69c | 359.1$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.78 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…7b4bbacked Yes | 56c | 358.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abc…52cabacked Yes | 39c | 357.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…cd1abacked No | 59c | 349.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 58c | 344.74$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 67c | 326.9$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…3840backed No | 61c | 325.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 38c | 319.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.82 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed Yes | 37c | 318.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 39c | 317.47$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 40c | 306.61$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.84 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 42c | 289.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…cc62backed Yes | 64c | 285.65$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4edc…274fbacked No | 69c | 266.62$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Yes | 38c | 263.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 36c | 260.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.19 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 70c | 251.85$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.69 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 44c | 250$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 36c | 243$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed No | 45c | 235$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 65c | 229.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 52c | 222$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf749…7736backed No | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d4…8981backed No | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3261…8ee6backed No | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…fe92backed No | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…96b2backed No | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…83eebacked No | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…c0babacked No | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…0866backed No | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…bbd3backed No | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fe…2736backed No | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…80f6backed No | 47c | 211$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 36c | 202.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…2df0backed No | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?this page
- Will Bryan Maxwell be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?No won
- Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?No won
- Will Robin Kelly be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?No won
- Will Stanley Leavell be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.