TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf67…374e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 53 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT4040%16 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$253.86
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.3
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$42.43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.62
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.34
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.59
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$117.52
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.07
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.53
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.92
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,843Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$1,023.35
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.3
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$356
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.47
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$93.9
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+212.9%+$63.06
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.29
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.84
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.9
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$67.96
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$163.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$113
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$330
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$216
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$67
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.08
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.32
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51%+$150.48
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$10.54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$24.65
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,804Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,803.79
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+321.9%+$44.25
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+103%+$81.69
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.56
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$13.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+32.3%+$25.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$902
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$244.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.