Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe77e19613b8de9647c0a415be927f351ee437fddbe201d4446b96d623a574e8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,223 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca93…e990backed Yes | 57c | 22,358$12,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,602.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a1bbacked No | 13c | 10,400$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed No | 47c | 5,887$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…1a08backed No | 18c | 5,451$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.58 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474d…12edbacked No | 43c | 4,710$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 64c | 3,882$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.74 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3b…63a1backed Yes | 37c | 3,333$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…34c3backed Yes | 61c | 3,101$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 40c | 2,959$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.57 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 16c | 2,801$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.39 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 4c | 2,513$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed No | 42c | 1,769$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.81 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…202fbacked No | 47c | 1,720$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84c0backed Yes | 47c | 1,465$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.26 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…923abacked No | 18c | 1,260$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…8843backed No | 74c | 1,131$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…b94cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,071$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.83 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 65c | 1,050$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.97 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…11aabacked No | 13c | 1,020$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 25c | 994.64$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.28 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed No | 12c | 966.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…9b49backed Yes | 52c | 925.54$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.51 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Yes | 25c | 906.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 65c | 902.89$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.36 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…22e8backed No | 6c | 898.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 54c | 821.15$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 67c | 803$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 45c | 799.89$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.39 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed No | 38c | 766.19$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 119 | 6.7%8 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 759.83$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.45 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 67c | 707.23$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.99 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 67c | 700$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 57c | 699.97$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.53 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 37c | 674.74$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 68c | 639.63$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.68 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…c27dbacked No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed Yes | 40c | 607.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…d6b7backed Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…0a7bbacked No | 72c | 600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed No | 20c | 516.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes | 25c | 511.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.96 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c57…010dbacked Yes | 71c | 506.19$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…4c34backed Yes | 70c | 483.14$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…56eabacked Yes | 25c | 480$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…0621backed Yes | 74c | 471.08$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e5…6412backed No | 12c | 468.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked Yes | 70c | 457.03$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 28c | 393.49$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…f11abacked No | 26c | 391.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 59c | 389.51$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…272dbacked No | 37c | 389.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44c…74e9backed Yes | 48c | 387.3$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…a827backed Yes | 65c | 384.05$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 29c | 380.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…0a0cbacked No | 66c | 376$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…772ebacked Yes | 33c | 376$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +200%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…5aa4backed Yes | 59c | 374.63$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 41c | 361$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…e8d5backed Yes | 53c | 346.79$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0d…8ea3backed No | 32c | 325.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 26c | 322.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347e…4d06backed Yes | 71c | 321.41$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Yes | 24c | 317$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 135 | 13.3%18 W · 117 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…d354backed No | 25c | 309.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…d4f8backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Yes | 67c | 298.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 9c | 282.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…0a52backed Yes | 35c | 279.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7ae9backed No | 42c | 262.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…d722backed No | 32c | 258.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…523dbacked Yes | 39c | 250$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 48c | 250$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…5afbbacked Yes | 64c | 236.83$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…91c8backed Yes | 38c | 227.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 34c | 226$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 46c | 222.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4e…9f6dbacked Yes | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…881cbacked Yes | 42c | 211.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 57c | 207.36$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 17c | 203$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 65c | 201.48$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…cc34backed Yes | 34c | 201.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…f0e0backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…0d7abacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 69c | 200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa325…90f5backed Yes | 51c | 196.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 23c | 190.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 46c | 180.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…a45bbacked Yes | 63c | 180.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832a…2b3ebacked Yes | 41c | 179.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…ab39backed Yes | 61c | 177.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…db72backed Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Yes | 52c | 157.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…0136backed Yes | 64c | 156.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…ab04backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…80eebacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Yes | 27c | 143.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.