TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc9e…6693

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Boxing, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 57 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6631.8%21 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$29.69
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$91.63
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$44.61
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+66%+$82.72
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.79
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.32
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.67
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.13
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.35
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.22
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$81.95
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.18
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$135.72
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.97
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.93
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+82.4%+$104.83
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$260
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$125.71
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-78.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$290
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.37
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+194.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$296
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura Win Title Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$175.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.