Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x761993074902cc432b50577239c0e839a2b677f5b8e72c7490cb5661efe8d6e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,208$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.5 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked No | 17c | 1,710$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 64c | 1,037$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.94 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 23c | 1,034$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.83 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 20c | 722.02$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…3b9bbacked Yes | 49c | 608.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 53c | 542.07$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 35c | 468.53$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.53 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 79c | 378.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…0d06backed No | 13c | 375.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…69d7backed Yes | 78c | 308.66$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked Yes | 55c | 300.45$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 61c | 291.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.43 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ea…02edbacked Yes | 6c | 282.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…b34fbacked Yes | 53c | 253.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 11c | 249.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cc…b624backed Yes | 16c | 235.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.38 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 53c | 230.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 44c | 199.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…b468backed Yes | 58c | 199.68$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 15c | 196.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 56c | 185$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 174.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 11c | 164.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 10c | 156.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0493…1177backed Yes | 77c | 154.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 55c | 150.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 7c | 144.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab54…da9fbacked Yes | 21c | 137.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 37c | 133.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 76c | 131$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 17c | 123.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 61c | 121.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 10c | 114.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed Yes | 71c | 106.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 75c | 99.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 53c | 98.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 79c | 93.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 25c | 90$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 347 | 14.7%51 W · 296 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 45c | 82.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 32c | 69.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 30c | 67.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…dd2ebacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes | 23c | 61.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…a64fbacked Yes | 41c | 60.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed No | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…1492backed Yes | 76c | 57.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…5adebacked Yes | 25c | 57.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…083ebacked No | 27c | 56.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 74c | 53.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 62c | 51.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 71c | 43.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x525a…5954backed Yes | 78c | 35.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…ed9dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…fa2fbacked Yes | 76c | 35.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…9b49backed Yes | 76c | 35.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…e56cbacked No | 63c | 34.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…8a17backed Yes | 74c | 33.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 36c | 32.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…842ebacked Yes | 32c | 32.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa2…3729backed Yes | 66c | 30.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…7e1ebacked Yes | 76c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 76c | 23.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18c…ecbdbacked Yes | 50c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.