Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d2be35d150490a0863e4cc2a7352552e272a72702b5412ad05b1e86b45c9d0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 12c | 6,214$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.37 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 61c | 902.21$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 593.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed No | 57c | 584.33$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed Yes | 41c | 440.7$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 399.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 11c | 311$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 30c | 299.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Yes | 7c | 276.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 16c | 264.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 18c | 246.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…fba0backed Yes | 4c | 241.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 19c | 212.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 16.6%53 W · 267 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 28c | 199.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes | 17c | 158.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 24c | 152.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 20c | 150.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 148.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…7b78backed Yes | 9c | 123.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cc…b624backed Yes | 41c | 123.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 103$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 17c | 98.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 15c | 96.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 22c | 84.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 79c | 82.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 70c | 76.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…083ebacked Yes | 28c | 73.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 31c | 67.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 76c | 66.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…0af5backed Yes | 25c | 63.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…e56cbacked Yes | 57c | 60.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 23c | 51.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked No | 80c | 51.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 66c | 51.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9439…9d6fbacked Yes | 41c | 45.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 69c | 41.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…21b9backed Yes | 30c | 37.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 66c | 31.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 66c | 25.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed No | 57c | 25.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 62c | 24.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked No | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 71c | 17.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 66c | 15.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.