Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca73c3d8226d8ccc2c3dc78f26b02cc7aa1a0d17669d6dd54aae67ae6689c827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c91…b7f4backed Yes | 2c | 2,701$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 76c | 2,266$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.59 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 26c | 1,407$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,289$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…b34fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,105$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 61c | 891.35$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.91 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 13c | 866$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 79c | 851.95$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.57 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 45c | 672.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed No | 77c | 648.23$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 50c | 582.34$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.61 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed No | 41c | 535.65$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 60c | 516.2$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.88 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 500$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed No | 69c | 493.33$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 108 | 24.1%26 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 62c | 434.87$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.27 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…5cbabacked No | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 58c | 363.41$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.57 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…26e1backed Yes | 37c | 324.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed No | 15c | 317.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 283.96$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.24 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 52c | 252.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 62c | 241.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 40c | 224.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…8034backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e33…2313backed No | 49c | 194.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 193.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.76 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…69d7backed Yes | 45c | 182$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…f75dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 64c | 165$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…5fd3backed No | 40c | 146.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…ff63backed Yes | 60c | 135.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f623backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Yes | 51c | 130.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 64c | 114.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 69c | 114.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bab…e8e0backed No | 72c | 113.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 59c | 110.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…97fcbacked Yes | 18c | 103.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 100.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…f154backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…0b79backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe34d…b134backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…da0fbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 74c | 96.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 72c | 95.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 62c | 91.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 64c | 89.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…8a17backed Yes | 59c | 86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 47c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked No | 27c | 72.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 46c | 70.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 62.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 38c | 61.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 41c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 73c | 56.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 54c | 55.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed Yes | 41c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 63c | 54.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 64c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…6297backed Yes | 40c | 53.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…466bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…33febacked No | 49c | 50.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 67c | 50.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…4005backed Yes | 61c | 50.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…5632backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…ed1cbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…34c0backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…573ebacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 32c | 48.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…8b5abacked Yes | 58c | 48.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 148 | 64.9%96 W · 52 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…d6edbacked Yes | 69c | 45.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…6b95backed No | 61c | 44.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…738ebacked No | 61c | 44.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked Yes | 70c | 43.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…897ebacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 60c | 39.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…8795backed Yes | 70c | 38.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c40…9f83backed Yes | 64c | 35.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 32c | 32.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…b468backed No | 70c | 30.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 51c | 26.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa2…3729backed No | 57c | 26.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed Yes | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.