TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c91…b7f4backed Yes2c2,701$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5190%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7c…487ebacked No76c2,266$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.5912232.8%40 W · 82 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No26c1,407$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04162539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes17c1,289$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.636113.3%48 W · 313 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6f…b34fbacked Yes8c1,105$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.21533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes61c891.35$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9166222.2%147 W · 515 L-34.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes13c866$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5863414.8%94 W · 540 L-1.8wins0.00per pick15cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No79c851.95$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5710330.1%31 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes45c672.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed No77c648.23$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.559728.9%28 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed No50c582.34$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6124732.4%80 W · 167 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d9…5490backed No41c535.65$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1849…137ebacked Yes60c516.2$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.882642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes48c500$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24142628.2%120 W · 306 L-38.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed No69c493.33$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9510824.1%26 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No62c434.87$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.278960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6098…5cbabacked No39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Yes58c363.41$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5713038.5%50 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2637…26e1backed Yes37c324.37$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-76.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed No15c317.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes61c283.96$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2422926.6%61 W · 168 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-48.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc9e…6693backed Yes52c252.88$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.226631.8%21 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes62c241.89$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.996216.1%10 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-66.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No40c224.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7637830.7%116 W · 262 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdadf…8034backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38306.7%2 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-63.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e33…2313backed No49c194.55$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No54c193.13$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7624155.6%134 W · 107 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x208f…69d7backed Yes45c182$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.46922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3f…f75dbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes64c165$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.69240.2%37 W · 55 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.738938.2%34 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc8…5fd3backed No40c146.14$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5e…ff63backed Yes60c135.35$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x604e…f623backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes51c130.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679532.6%31 W · 64 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8007…a8f4backed Yes64c114.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2715649.4%77 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No69c114.42$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8559225.3%150 W · 442 L+2.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bab…e8e0backed No72c113.23$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes59c110.09$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4565623.2%152 W · 504 L+1.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No62c110$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.518358.5%107 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c9…97fcbacked Yes18c103.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No39c100.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6251845.9%238 W · 280 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb8…f154backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320532.7%67 W · 138 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a68…33bfbacked No25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa6…0b79backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe34d…b134backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6150%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00e7…da0fbacked Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes74c96.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1934039.7%135 W · 205 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No72c95.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6110547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed No62c91.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.242,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No64c89.43$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0114451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ab…8a17backed Yes59c86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.91735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes47c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.557833.3%26 W · 52 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No64c74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6416969.2%117 W · 52 L+17.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee01…b01fbacked No27c72.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No46c70.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4924932.9%82 W · 167 L-33.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes66c70$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.243027%116 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed No52c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.732860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No62c62.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7379735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes38c61.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4351018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.415455.2%85 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No41c58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9421857.8%126 W · 92 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No73c56.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.242763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba3…57bcbacked No54c55.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.772653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d7…0ff9backed Yes41c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.392352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4616…a910backed No63c54.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3533670.2%236 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85c8…80f8backed No64c54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.212045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d4…6297backed Yes40c53.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.26650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7455…0432backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205236.5%19 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x713b…466bbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b3…33febacked No49c50.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed No67c50.53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7811564.3%74 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9630…4005backed Yes61c50.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86e…5632backed Yes64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322524%6 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e99…b482backed Yes78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39267.7%2 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-84.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x304b…a619backed No39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.544227.4%121 W · 321 L-21.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…ed1cbacked No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x395e…34c0backed Yes65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f2…573ebacked Yes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No32c48.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8440719.7%80 W · 327 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f7d…8b5abacked Yes58c48.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No64c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5514864.9%96 W · 52 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd4e…d6edbacked Yes69c45.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.514440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…6b95backed No61c44.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ab…738ebacked No61c44.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd4…ea0ebacked Yes70c43.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.222152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc23…897ebacked Yes71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Yes60c39.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0de…8795backed Yes70c38.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c40…9f83backed Yes64c35.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No32c32.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7712543.2%54 W · 71 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb8…b468backed No70c30.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.032142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.699619.8%197 W · 799 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.326461.7%163 W · 101 L+0.9wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes51c26.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.538342.2%35 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa2…3729backed No57c26.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8215…1279backed Yes60c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.