TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00e7…da0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+589.7%+$1,768.97
Will the announcers say "Depth" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$382.8
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.8
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$302.4
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.6
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$297.6
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$259.7
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.8
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$163.2
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.