World Politics · resolved market
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56c250d5544513c6771a8d10085c2c6e577e218091a8cd7efbff7dcea0e4af04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06f3…64a6backed Yes | 0c | 9,499$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,469.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 6cpaid | +10,757.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 66c | 3,055$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.95 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 34c | 2,902$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,834$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.25 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed No | 49c | 1,310$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,364.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed Yes | 21c | 1,080$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +11.7wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 33c | 880.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.32 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 26c | 834.72$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed Yes | 18c | 788$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 73c | 772.23$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.47 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…c4febacked No | 14c | 643.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed Yes | 14c | 600$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 31c | 545$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.05 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed Yes | 14c | 500$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 66c | 479.01$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 62c | 389.62$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.19 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked No | 60c | 382.58$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…fb48backed No | 29c | 363.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Yes | 16c | 360.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed Yes | 21c | 350$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.54per pick | 16cpaid | +410.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 304.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.69 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…71a6backed No | 69c | 286.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 33c | 280$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 9c | 249.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.45 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 62c | 241.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed No | 28c | 200.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…8730backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c5…a121backed Yes | 20c | 197.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed Yes | 27c | 180.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…0ca3backed Yes | 28c | 154$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 45cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 31c | 139.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…7546backed No | 77c | 130.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 24c | 129.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…93ccbacked Yes | 32c | 127.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…610cbacked Yes | 52c | 109.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…e86dbacked No | 29c | 104.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 33c | 90.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…b5c3backed Yes | 23c | 89.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…9ba2backed No | 61c | 83.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…da0fbacked No | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0f0bbacked No | 80c | 75.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 77cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 27c | 73.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…eb3bbacked No | 72c | 57.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked No | 73c | 54.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 24c | 52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed No | 62c | 49.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed No | 73c | 45.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…c62fbacked Yes | 36c | 42.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…9828backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…e827backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 34.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…f147backed No | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…fb11backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd46…e514backed Yes | 70c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…97acbacked No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…390bbacked No | 71c | 20.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…d267backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…516bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…6460backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…f8c6backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…68e8backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…7e36backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??this page
- Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.