World Politics · resolved market
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34e81892fa515a5ce7e580c79461c8eae60bb2479a5672d01485247d39498812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa095…6040backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +11.7wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked Yes | 7c | 900$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.54per pick | 16cpaid | +410.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 24c | 762.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.31 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,364.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed No | 69c | 364.32$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 38c | 343.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.65 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 10c | 332.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.24 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 72c | 301.11$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 181.11$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 155.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0f0bbacked No | 76c | 130.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 77cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6d…5453backed Yes | 31c | 120.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…b7babacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed No | 65c | 83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…217abacked No | 15c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 42c | 81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…a810backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 48c | 67.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 26c | 59.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 21c | 53.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…610cbacked Yes | 32c | 43.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…c62fbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7b…571dbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…d267backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…6460backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…1cebbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b8ddbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…e827backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?this page
- Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.