Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b38300fb27196d5ca73ae2cca3d601e107cf305e00358d64b2cdeb712eb5c5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,653,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,457,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,653,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 70c | 354,012$247,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,583.49 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes | 30c | 255,638$76,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,691.41 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 78c | 254,276$198,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,804.72 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked No | 68c | 100,000$67,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,399.85 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 27c | 96,973$26,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,235.46 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 89,825$62,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,887.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 29c | 82,548$24,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,213.67 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 72,789$23,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,684.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 70c | 66,520$46,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,956 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Yes | 30c | 65,712$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 16c | 62,861$10,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,071.54 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Yes | 31c | 62,100$19,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,251 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 69c | 61,323$42,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,010.02 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 46c | 58,110$26,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,215.12 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Yes | 67c | 56,378$37,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,633.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 27c | 36,773$10,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,064.24 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 36,100$10,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,721.42 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 34c | 33,800$11,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,467.16 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…d821backed No | 70c | 31,463$21,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,555.67 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 30c | 29,860$8,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,961.24 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed No | 70c | 27,451$19,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,235.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 24,978$17,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,962.93 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b4…1e69backed Yes | 31c | 22,581$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 31c | 20,496$6,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,331.7 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Yes | 13c | 17,532$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.78 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 19c | 16,740$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.32 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 28c | 16,221$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.57 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 25c | 15,775$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.11 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…3ab4backed Yes | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 25c | 15,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 34c | 14,157$4,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes | 54c | 13,875$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 34c | 13,646$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,074.76 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 70c | 13,081$9,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.29 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 64c | 12,938$8,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.27 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 70c | 12,214$8,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.7 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 32c | 11,460$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.05 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Yes | 24c | 11,402$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.8 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Yes | 24c | 9,945$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.97 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 62c | 9,822$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.69 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…0b49backed Yes | 1c | 9,737$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Yes | 23c | 9,657$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.43 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 9,449$7,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.73 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 5c | 9,278$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 20c | 9,152$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 70c | 8,255$5,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.32 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 70c | 8,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Yes | 22c | 7,368$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 30c | 7,325$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.37 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes | 25c | 7,085$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.62 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84a2…e0b6backed No | 70c | 6,730$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.11 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f1eebacked Yes | 30c | 6,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Yes | 26c | 6,594$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.01 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed Yes | 31c | 6,450$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.5 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 70c | 6,400$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b51…9144backed Yes | 29c | 6,400$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.96 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes | 20c | 6,269$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.05 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Yes | 54c | 6,226$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.5 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 6,011$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.48 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Yes | 28c | 6,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed No | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…c3d9backed Yes | 8c | 5,937$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.42 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 45c | 5,683$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.36 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 70c | 5,600$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 71c | 5,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.58 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 5,417$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.57 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 19c | 5,230$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.64 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 10c | 5,201$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 5,179$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.47 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 31c | 5,161$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 63c | 5,056$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.36 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 37c | 4,948$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.51 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Yes | 31c | 4,830$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.3 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…58dabacked Yes | 15c | 4,604$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…bc8ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,470$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.6 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.78 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Yes | 22c | 4,283$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.98 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 4,129$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.31 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,923$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.8 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 3,916$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.24 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed No | 77c | 3,879$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.97 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 69c | 3,818$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.58 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 63c | 3,811$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.6 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 29c | 3,737$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…bbedbacked Yes | 9c | 3,637$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Yes | 49c | 3,597$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes | 67c | 3,582$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.72 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Yes | 31c | 3,554$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.74 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 63c | 3,438$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…23e2backed Yes | 9c | 3,351$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 30c | 3,330$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes | 25c | 3,302$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.13 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 3,298$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 70c | 3,207$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.9 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?this page
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes won
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.