TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,653,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,457,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,653,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9703…69c2backed No70c354,012$247,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,583.4929952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes30c255,638$76,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,691.418932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No78c254,276$198,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,804.7274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked No68c100,000$67,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,399.858063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes27c96,973$26,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,235.4624441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No70c89,825$62,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,887.922,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes29c82,548$24,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,213.672,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes33c72,789$23,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,684.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No70c66,520$46,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,95620844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Yes30c65,712$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0005523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes16c62,861$10,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,071.5434964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Yes31c62,100$19,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,2512920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No69c61,323$42,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,010.029345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No46c58,110$26,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,215.121,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Yes67c56,378$37,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,633.661127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes27c36,773$10,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,064.2426447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c36,100$10,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,721.421,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes34c33,800$11,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,467.1664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed No70c31,463$21,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,555.671770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes30c29,860$8,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,961.2431945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd67…ef90backed No70c27,451$19,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,235.422356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c24,978$17,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,962.9376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b4…1e69backed Yes31c22,581$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-65.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes31c20,496$6,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,331.733337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes13c17,532$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.7815040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes19c16,740$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.3275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes28c16,221$4,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,465.5742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes25c15,775$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.1119332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes64c15,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6007550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Yes32c15,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8009645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes25c15,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes34c14,157$4,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,82527239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes54c13,875$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50015131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No34c13,646$4,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,074.761,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No70c13,081$9,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,924.292,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No64c12,938$8,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,655.2711942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No70c12,214$8,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,685.733549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes32c11,460$3,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,657.0524443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Yes24c11,402$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.822450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Yes24c9,945$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.9714757.8%85 W · 62 L+16.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes62c9,822$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,049.6944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6100…0b49backed Yes1c9,737$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Yes23c9,657$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.4313352.6%70 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No78c9,449$7,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.732,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes5c9,278$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes20c9,152$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No70c8,255$5,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.3230751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No70c8,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2816…c811backed Yes22c7,368$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6107335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes30c7,325$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.3756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes25c7,085$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.6217852.2%93 W · 85 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84a2…e0b6backed No70c6,730$4,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.112857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes30c6,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Yes26c6,594$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.0111254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Yes31c6,450$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.56833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No70c6,400$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b51…9144backed Yes29c6,400$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.964257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.9wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes20c6,269$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.0510753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Yes54c6,226$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.515937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c6,011$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.482,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Yes28c6,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6801010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed No70c6,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8005740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56d…c3d9backed Yes8c5,937$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.42345.9%2 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick16cpaid-84%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes45c5,683$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.361,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No70c5,600$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68038351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No71c5,500$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.5847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No69c5,417$3,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.572,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes19c5,230$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.6414132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes10c5,201$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c5,179$3,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.471,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes31c5,161$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6008133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes63c5,056$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.3624635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Yes9c5,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43015127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes37c4,948$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.5145528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Yes31c4,830$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.318738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007f…58dabacked Yes15c4,604$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38b3…bc8ebacked Yes9c4,470$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.66124.6%15 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+111.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No69c4,348$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.7822451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Yes22c4,283$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.9811559.1%68 W · 47 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes30c4,129$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.3179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes12c4,000$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4865234.6%18 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes21c3,923$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.810655.7%59 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes11c3,916$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.243,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4496…97c0backed No77c3,879$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.973268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked No69c3,818$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.5815044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No63c3,811$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.631232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes29c3,737$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a3…bbedbacked Yes9c3,637$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33510622.6%24 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Yes49c3,597$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7508235.4%29 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes67c3,582$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.729144%40 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Yes31c3,554$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.7444144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes63c3,438$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16656151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x114d…23e2backed Yes9c3,351$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2871546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes30c3,330$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99925537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes25c3,302$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.139962.6%62 W · 37 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c3,298$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Yes31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No70c3,207$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.