Fifa International · resolved market
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b9be2e4558d3581e1023a0e0568a7a49fcca8c7f1ba1d1ca73fa1deb05e76f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,086,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,305,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,086,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,814 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x640d…9a4cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,808,780$689,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119,423.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 57c | 653,586$372,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372,717.1 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 279,864$179,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179,931.71 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 65c | 230,000$148,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,700 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed No | 0c | 200,134$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.44 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 66c | 169,484$111,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,320 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Yes | 33c | 167,924$54,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,306.99 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 62c | 121,770$75,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,538.08 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 66c | 118,990$78,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,183.59 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 33c | 100,863$33,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,577.95 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 34c | 100,000$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,000 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 64c | 100,000$64,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,000 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Yes | 43c | 99,683$42,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,172.81 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Yes | 34c | 97,059$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,058.82 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 66c | 85,466$56,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,407.52 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 26c | 78,278$20,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,925.63 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 57c | 69,290$39,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,243.3 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 71c | 62,864$44,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,165.88 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…fe05backed No | 74c | 60,000$44,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,400 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked No | 74c | 59,980$44,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,385.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 65c | 57,000$36,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,907.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…d821backed No | 65c | 56,728$36,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,873.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.95 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 31c | 49,911$15,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,536.36 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 65c | 48,735$31,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,632.14 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 26c | 46,597$12,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,481.88 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 65c | 46,320$30,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,139.75 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 65c | 44,400$28,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,860 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 41,274$16,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,095.6 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 64c | 39,005$24,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,963.2 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 65c | 38,350$24,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,927.5 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 26c | 32,064$8,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,458.2 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 61c | 31,046$19,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,013.62 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 28,967$19,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,048.74 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked No | 64c | 28,500$18,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,240 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 64c | 28,500$18,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,240 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 64c | 28,500$18,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,239.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked No | 64c | 28,000$17,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,920 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 74c | 27,548$20,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,256.52 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 25,705$6,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,021.8 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 25,551$12,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,814.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed No | 67c | 22,805$15,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,279.05 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 22,667$13,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,862.12 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 22,570$14,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,695.67 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 25c | 21,539$5,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,154.35 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 66c | 21,156$13,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,962.85 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed No | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…f2f4backed No | 74c | 19,978$14,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,783.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 19,657$14,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,412.74 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 73c | 16,937$12,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,431.67 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 41c | 16,568$6,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735.4 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked No | 54c | 16,000$8,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,660.33 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 15,612$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,042.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 57c | 15,349$8,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,798.44 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.74 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,888.89 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 66c | 13,000$8,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,579.85 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…2ef7backed No | 64c | 11,400$7,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,296 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 66c | 11,054$7,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,295.64 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 36c | 11,034$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,078.76 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 69c | 10,832$7,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,525.64 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 43c | 10,368$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417.88 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 34c | 10,294$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,794.12 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked No | 46c | 10,052$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,582.75 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd5…cba7backed No | 59c | 10,017$5,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,871.75 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked No | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…78e4backed No | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…6d5cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…45bdbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…526fbacked Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 66c | 9,936$6,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,544.36 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 64c | 9,899$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,335.32 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 9,564$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,306.14 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 20c | 9,498$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,598.2 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…eb2ebacked No | 46c | 8,909$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.79 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 34c | 8,824$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,823.53 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 34c | 8,608$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.47 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 8,573$5,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,631.57 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked No | 64c | 8,550$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,472 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed No | 76c | 8,550$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.99 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 35c | 8,220$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.08 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 32c | 8,178$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.99 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed No | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed No | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 8,000$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,259.82 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 34c | 7,777$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.82 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 34c | 6,861$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,542.61 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed Yes | 41c | 6,816$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.21 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…876fbacked Yes | 34c | 6,765$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,464.71 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 66c | 6,638$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,381 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 34c | 6,569$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.52 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?this page
- Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?No won
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.